Communist China News

1 year ago

Which company will create AGI first?

Dec 7, 7:13 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

977458

OptionProbability

OpenAI

Anthropic

US Government

people not employed by a company

Communist Party of China

DeepMind

Nvidia

Other

microsoft

Tesla

character.ai

Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

Feb 15, 12:23 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

356265

OptionProbability

Other

Li Qiang (Premier, 2nd rank PSC member)

Ding Xuexiang (Vice Premier, 6th rank PSC member)

Chen Jining (Party Secretary of Shanghai)

Zhang Shengmin, Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission

[Nobody] (Xi Jinping does not have a successor as General Secretary)

Li Xi (7th rank PSC member, Secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection)

Wang Yi (Foreign Minister)

Wang Huning (tourist, political theorist, and 4th rank PSC member)

Chen Min'er (Party Secretary of Tianjin)

Yuan Jiajun (Party Secretary of Chongqing)

Yin Li (Party Secretary of Beijing)

Li Shulei (Head of Party Publicity)

Zhao Leji (3rd rank PSC member, chairman of NPC Standing Committee)

Cai Qi (5th rank PSC member, first-ranked of Secretariat)

Chen Wenqing (Secretary of the Central Political and Legal Affairs Commission)

Zhang Youxia (Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission)

Wang Yang (former Chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference)

Will China still be a communist country on the following dates

Apr 14, 10:46 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

212606

OptionProbability

by Jan 1, 2025

by Jan 1, 2026

by Jan 1, 2027

by Jan 1, 2028

by Jan 1, 2029

by Jan 1, 2030

by Jan 1, 2035

by Jan 1, 2040

100

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:24 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.91%chance

151810

OptionVotes

YES

2581

389

Who will lead China after Xi Jinping leaves power?

May 3, 2:13 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

13846

OptionProbability

Other

Zhang Shengmin

Ding Xuexiang

Li Qiang

Cai Qi

Wang Yang

He Lifeng

Wang Qishan

Tsai Ing-wen

Will Taiwan invade the PRC by 2050?

Aug 13, 8:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.5%chance

10634

OptionVotes

YES

351

CCP loses control of a province or SAR before 2030

Oct 15, 12:03 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

10.33%chance

10601

OptionVotes

YES

1249

925

Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?

May 6, 4:05 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.73%chance

18430

OptionVotes

YES

1147

1002

Will Xi Jinping be either General Secretary or Chairman when he dies?

Nov 30, 3:20 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

44.44%chance

10252

OptionVotes

YES

141

Will Xi Jinping stop being the leader of China before China goes to war with Taiwan

Mar 28, 11:01 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.18%chance

7240

OptionVotes

YES

212

187

Will Liu Zhenli be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

Jan 21, 4:12 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

71.65%chance

7135

OptionVotes

YES

159

Will Zhang Shengmin be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

Jan 21, 3:34 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.02%chance

125

OptionVotes

YES

125

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Which company will create AGI first?

Who will be the next General Secretary of China after Xi Jinping?

Will China still be a communist country on the following dates

3. China’s AI chip sector make significant strides, planting seeds for eventual decline on Nvidia [See full title!]

Who will lead China after Xi Jinping leaves power?

Will Taiwan invade the PRC by 2050?

CCP loses control of a province or SAR before 2030

Will Meta censor its future open weights models according to Chinese-developed techniques?

Will Xi Jinping be either General Secretary or Chairman when he dies?

Will Xi Jinping stop being the leader of China before China goes to war with Taiwan

Will Liu Zhenli be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

Will Zhang Shengmin be expelled from the Chinese Communist Party before 2028?

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