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Prediction markets for Community Lead

Will we discover alien life before 2028?

Jan 10, 11:21 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

6.07%chance

5613614

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1241

957

Will this Richard Hanania article on trans ideology hold up?

Oct 6, 4:51 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

73.61%chance

6913547

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1659

197

(M1000 Subsidy) UK builds 300,000 housing units in any year before 2030

Oct 10, 10:53 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

18.92%chance

7211589

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2835

709

Will we discover alien life before 2032?

Jan 9, 1:36 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

11.75%chance

626910

OptionVotes

NO

YES

980

943

Will we discover alien life before 2035?

Feb 2, 11:35 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

13.96%chance

516496

OptionVotes

NO

YES

994

855

Will we discover alien life before 2031?

Jan 9, 1:25 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

9%chance

415254

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1072

963

Will we discover alien life before 2033?

Jan 12, 7:10 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

13.73%chance

474633

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1016

678

Will we discover alien life before 2038?

Feb 10, 12:19 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

22%chance

354481

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1037

776

Will we discover alien life before 2034?

Jan 26, 10:57 AMMar 1, 10:59 PM

12.79%chance

584293

OptionVotes

NO

YES

983

936

Will we discover alien life before 2039?

Feb 17, 2:43 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

23.19%chance

372755

OptionVotes

NO

YES

991

951

Will we discover alien life before 2036?

Feb 3, 6:41 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

19.61%chance

252042

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

736

Will we discover alien life before we get a cure for cancer?

Feb 11, 3:03 PMMar 1, 10:59 PM

20.54%chance

331116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1172

939

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