OptionVotes
NO
YES
744
93
OptionProbability
Other
At an EA (Effective Altruism) conference
LessWrong (LW) Meetup
Bay Area Taco Tuesday
Manifold Markets Manifest
Secular Solstice
66
7
6
122
82
> 500,000
180,001–280,000
280,001–500,000
≤ 180,000
35
25
15
123
81
