Companies House News

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

27.17%chance

1459535

OptionVotes

YES

6060

4388

Will more US AI models be subject to US export control directives by the end of 2026?

Jun 15, 2:03 PMJan 1, 11:00 AM

20.8%chance

377617

OptionVotes

YES

1951

513

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

May 21, 6:20 PMDec 31, 6:37 PM

53421

OptionProbability

Gallium

Germanium

Neodymium

Antimony

Dysprosium

Terbium

Yttrium

Tantalum

Rhenium

Indium

Tellurium

Samarium

Silver

Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?

Jul 3, 1:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38%chance

432617

OptionVotes

YES

1277

783

Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?

Mar 31, 7:40 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

71.67%chance

421856

OptionVotes

YES

1242

876

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

YES

1010

851

6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.

Dec 28, 11:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

34.71%chance

161055

OptionVotes

YES

1374

730

Will a Midjourney Scanner be available for paid public full-body scans in the US by Dec 31, 2027?

Jun 18, 3:36 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

8.53%chance

8695

OptionVotes

YES

1561

1280

9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.

Dec 28, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.78%chance

6671

OptionVotes

YES

1221

822

Under Hawley's proposed law, would the generative AI definition apply to curation algorithms like YouTube or Facebook?

Dec 6, 10:18 PMMar 16, 3:59 AM

8%chance

14604

OptionVotes

YES

1163

953

2026 Financial Times Business Book of the Year

Mar 4, 7:34 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

1384

OptionProbability

Robot-Proof: When Machines Have All the Answers, Build Better People by Vivienne Ming

Other

The Elements of Power: A Story of War, Technology and the Dirtiest Supply Chain on Earth by Nicolas Niarchos

Bonfire of the Murdochs: How the Epic Fight to Control the Last Great Media Dynasty Broke a Family — and the World by Gabriel Sherman

Plastic Inc.: Big Oil, Big Money and the Plan to Trash Our Future by Beth Gardiner

Adrift in the South by Xiao Hai

Incorruptible: Why Good Companies Go Bad . . . and How Great Companies Stay Great by Eric Ries

The Curious Case of Mike Lynch: The Improbable Life & Death of a Tech Billionaire | Katie Prescot

Control Science: How Management Made the Modern World by Henry Sno

Inside the Box | David Epstein

The Age of Extraction | Tim Wu

House of Fidelity: The Rise of the Johnson Dynasty and the Company That Changed American Investing | Justin Baer

I Am Not a Robot: My Year Using AI to Do (Almost) Everything | Joanna Stern

Steve Jobs in Exile | Geoffrey Cain

London Falling | Patrick Radden Keefe

Which Company will be the first to sell 100.000 humanoid robots capable of household tasks?

Jan 6, 5:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17297

OptionProbability

Other

Tesla

Figure

Unitree

UBTech

XPeng Robotics

Xiaomi

Mentee

Open AI

Galbot

Boston Dynamics

Samsung

Amazon

Agility Robotics/Agile Robots

Honda

Companies House News

Prediction markets for Companies House

Prediction markets for Companies House

Prediction markets for Companies House

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Will more US AI models be subject to US export control directives by the end of 2026?

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?

Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.

Will a Midjourney Scanner be available for paid public full-body scans in the US by Dec 31, 2027?

9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.

Under Hawley's proposed law, would the generative AI definition apply to curation algorithms like YouTube or Facebook?

2026 Financial Times Business Book of the Year

Which Company will be the first to sell 100.000 humanoid robots capable of household tasks?

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