Companies House News

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

25.52%chance

1479885

OptionVotes

YES

6410

4263

6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.

Dec 28, 11:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

90.75%chance

226494

OptionVotes

YES

3137

320

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

May 21, 6:20 PMDec 31, 6:37 PM

84871

OptionProbability

Gallium

Neodymium

Germanium

Antimony

Dysprosium

Terbium

Yttrium

Tantalum

Rhenium

Indium

Tellurium

Samarium

Silver

What will Adjacent’s RED political index value be at the 2026 midterms?

Jun 23, 9:38 PMJun 24, 3:59 AM

62833

OptionProbability

90 - 98

Below 90

99 - 107

108 - 116

117 - 125

126 - 135

Above 135

Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?

Jul 3, 1:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38%chance

432617

OptionVotes

YES

1277

783

2026 Financial Times Business Book of the Year

Mar 4, 7:34 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

32257

OptionProbability

Money to Burn: Leon Black, Apollo and the Remaking of Wall Street | William D. Cohan

Streetwise: Getting to and Through Goldman Sachs | Lloyd Blankfein

Project Maven | Katrina Manson

We Know You Can Pay a Million | Anja Shortland

1873: The First Great Depression and the Making of the Modern World | Liaquat Ahamed

Off the Scales | Aimee Donnellan

The Rise and Fall of the Artificial State | Jill Lepore

Prophecy | Carissa Véliz

Blood Will Flow | Alex Perry

How Africa Works | Joe Studwell

The Infinity Machine | Sebastian Mallaby

The UPS Man | Marc Levinson

Bonfire of the Murdochs | Gabriel Sherman

Hyperscale | Paris Marx

Frontierlands | Hazel Sheffield

I Am Not a Robot: My Year Using AI to Do (Almost) Everything | Joanna Stern

Steve Jobs in Exile | Geoffrey Cain

Inside the Box | David Epstein

The Age of Extraction | Tim Wu

London Falling | Patrick Radden Keefe

House of Fidelity: The Rise of the Johnson Dynasty and the Company That Changed American Investing | Justin Baer

The Curious Case of Mike Lynch: The Improbable Life & Death of a Tech Billionaire | Katie Prescot

Control Science: How Management Made the Modern World by Henry Sno

Incorruptible: Why Good Companies Go Bad . . . and How Great Companies Stay Great by Eric Ries

Adrift in the South by Xiao Hai

Plastic Inc.: Big Oil, Big Money and the Plan to Trash Our Future by Beth Gardiner

The Elements of Power: A Story of War, Technology and the Dirtiest Supply Chain on Earth by Nicolas Niarchos

Robot-Proof: When Machines Have All the Answers, Build Better People by Vivienne Ming

Other

Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?

Mar 31, 7:40 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

72.9%chance

431906

OptionVotes

YES

1292

856

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

YES

1010

851

What will Adjacent’s BLUE political index value be at the 2026 midterms?

Jun 23, 9:42 PMJun 24, 3:59 AM

71788

OptionProbability

99 - 107

108 - 116

90 - 98

117 - 125

126 - 135

Above 135

Below 90

9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.

Dec 28, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37.15%chance

81153

OptionVotes

YES

1303

770

Will Die Linke successfully seize at least 200,000 housing units in Berlin before EOY 2031?

Sep 21, 6:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.25%chance

5630

OptionVotes

YES

1630

769

Which Company will be the first to sell 100.000 humanoid robots capable of household tasks?

Jan 6, 5:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

19305

OptionProbability

Other

Unitree

Tesla

Figure

UBTech

XPeng Robotics

Xiaomi

Mentee

Open AI

Galbot

Boston Dynamics

Samsung

Amazon

Agility Robotics/Agile Robots

Honda

Companies House News

Prediction markets for Companies House

Prediction markets for Companies House

Prediction markets for Companies House

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.

What will be the first metal Trump officially requests for Project Vault?

What will Adjacent’s RED political index value be at the 2026 midterms?

Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?

2026 Financial Times Business Book of the Year

Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

What will Adjacent’s BLUE political index value be at the 2026 midterms?

9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.

Will Die Linke successfully seize at least 200,000 housing units in Berlin before EOY 2031?

Which Company will be the first to sell 100.000 humanoid robots capable of household tasks?

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