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Prediction markets for Companies House

Will JetBlue announce that it has acquired Spirit Airlines before 2026?

Mar 29, 2:11 AMDec 31, 5:00 PM

1.09%chance

3011255

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7762

590

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.73%chance

1418719

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3322

1984

Will a utility suggest customers leave their home AC on full-blast during the day because of net-negative demand by '26?

Jan 27, 2:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.63%chance

507272

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4301

626

Will Microsoft Copilot continue to rely primarily on OpenAI foundation models at the end of 2025?

Mar 19, 8:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

95.92%chance

345296

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4841

219

Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?

Jul 3, 1:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.98%chance

392423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1363

733

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

851

Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?

Mar 31, 7:40 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

71.67%chance

411256

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1220

860

Under Hawley's proposed law, would the generative AI definition apply to curation algorithms like YouTube or Facebook?

Dec 6, 10:18 PMMar 16, 3:59 AM

8%chance

14604

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1163

953

xAI launches its own browser by EOY2025?

Jul 24, 6:07 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

7.14%chance

14506

OptionVotes

YES

NO

361

28

Which Company will be the first to sell 100.000 humanoid robots capable of household tasks?

Jan 6, 5:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17288

OptionProbability

Other

X1

Tesla

Unitree

Figure

UBTech

XPeng Robotics

Open AI

Mentee

Xiaomi

Galbot

Samsung

Amazon

Agility Robotics/Agile Robots

Boston Dynamics

LG

Honda

18

14

14

13

13

10

5

3

3

2

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

If we sue our HVAC contractor for charging us travel fees when we have a warranty on labor, will we win?

May 15, 2:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.62%chance

5146

OptionVotes

NO

YES

211

47

Ubisoft Entertainment Stock

Apr 12, 12:36 AMApr 12, 5:59 AM

366

OptionProbability

YES

NO

154

55

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