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Prediction markets for Companies House

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

31%chance

1439115

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3207

2034

Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?

Jul 3, 1:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.98%chance

392423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1363

733

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

851

Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?

Mar 31, 7:40 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

78%chance

421556

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1542

776

6. Many more AI companies will begin building custom chips.

Dec 28, 11:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.48%chance

14895

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1759

570

9. One of the large global pharma companies will acquire one of the leading protein AI startups.

Dec 28, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

59.78%chance

6671

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1221

822

Under Hawley's proposed law, would the generative AI definition apply to curation algorithms like YouTube or Facebook?

Dec 6, 10:18 PMMar 16, 3:59 AM

8%chance

14604

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1163

953

Which Company will be the first to sell 100.000 humanoid robots capable of household tasks?

Jan 6, 5:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

17296

OptionProbability

Other

Tesla

X1

Unitree

Figure

UBTech

XPeng Robotics

Xiaomi

Mentee

Open AI

Galbot

Samsung

Amazon

Agility Robotics/Agile Robots

Boston Dynamics

LG

Honda

22

13

12

12

12

9

6

4

3

2

2

1

1

1

0

0

0

Will 50 Cent make another documentary about Diddy/Other celebrities?

Jan 10, 7:59 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

29.93%chance

6152

OptionVotes

YES

NO

245

169

If we sue our HVAC contractor for charging us travel fees when we have a warranty on labor, will we win?

May 15, 2:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

81.62%chance

5146

OptionVotes

NO

YES

211

47

Ubisoft Entertainment Stock

Apr 12, 12:36 AMApr 12, 5:59 AM

390

OptionProbability

YES

NO

177

48

[don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming?

Aug 10, 3:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.08%chance

637

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

127

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