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Top stories

Labour Tax Overhaul Spurs 40% Jump in Company Directors Leaving UK

Labour Tax Overhaul Spurs 40% Jump in Company Directors Leaving UK

Authors

6

3 days ago

Prediction markets for Companies House

3. Donald Trump and Elon Musk will have a messy falling-out. This will have meaningful consequences for the world of AI.

Dec 27, 8:14 AMJan 3, 10:59 PM

80.14%chance

6116884

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2008

498

In 2028, will traditional Big Tech be clearly ahead of AI-specific companies in AI technology?

Feb 20, 10:35 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

33.67%chance

1388307

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2986

2139

Will a utility suggest customers leave their home AC on full-blast during the day because of net-negative demand by '26?

Jan 27, 2:46 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

12.68%chance

505971

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3000

768

Will JetBlue announce that it has acquired Spirit Airlines before 2026?

Mar 29, 2:11 AMDec 1, 5:00 PM

4.7%chance

264482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2094

713

Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?

Jul 3, 1:46 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

34.98%chance

392423

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1363

733

Kendi/DiAngelo school of DEI widely repudiated as racist OR paranoid in USA before 2040.

Jul 13, 1:16 PMJan 1, 3:59 PM

76.19%chance

191852

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

851

Will Microsoft Copilot continue to rely primarily on OpenAI foundation models at the end of 2025?

Mar 19, 8:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

64.66%chance

271594

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1302

754

Will a serious competitor to NVIDIA in the AI chip space emerge before EOY 2027?

Mar 31, 7:40 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

74.93%chance

401206

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1357

810

Under Hawley's proposed law, would the generative AI definition apply to curation algorithms like YouTube or Facebook?

Dec 6, 10:18 PMMar 16, 3:59 AM

8%chance

14604

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1163

953

Wich Company will be the first to sell 100.000 humanoid robots capable of houshold tasks.

Jan 6, 5:43 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

10109

OptionProbability

Other

Figure

Open AI

XPeng Robotics

Tesla

Unitree

Mentee

Galbot

X1

Boston Dynamics

Samsung

LG

Honda

Xiaomi

Amazon

Agility Robotics

25

18

14

11

7

6

5

4

3

1

1

1

1

1

1

1

Ubisoft Entertainment Stock

Apr 12, 12:36 AMApr 12, 5:59 AM

366

OptionProbability

YES

NO

154

55

[don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming?

Aug 10, 3:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.08%chance

637

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

127

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