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Prediction markets for Compass

Pope Leo XIV mentions prediction markets before 2027?

Oct 16, 9:14 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.75%chance

5415399

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4013

1279

Nguyen Ma Stock

Apr 11, 9:42 AM

83550

OptionProbability

NO

YES

742

384

2030 – 3. Over one hundred thousand humanoid robots will be deployed in the real world.

Mar 11, 12:08 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

79.08%chance

382747

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1720

680

Which books will I rate 5 stars, if I read them?

Jan 1, 6:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

271187

OptionProbability

The Way of Kings by Brandon Sanderson

Merchant Magician by John Champaign

The Road by Cormac McCarthy

The Player of Games by Iain M. Banks

(The books you will rate 5 stars)

Crime and Punishment

Catch-22 by Joseph Heller

Lord of Light by Roger Zelazny

Hyperion by Dan Simmons

Exhalation by Ted Chiang

War with the Newts

Small Things Like These by Claire Keegan

Great Gatsby

If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies by Nate Soares and Eliezer Yudkowsky

Existential Kink by Carolyn Elliott

97

85

75

69

66

64

64

61

61

61

50

50

43

41

19

Do the Walk for Peace Monks arrive in Washington DC and appear in photos with Trump?

Jan 3, 8:58 PMDec 31, 8:57 PM

15.59%chance

7269

OptionVotes

YES

NO

233

43

Will a post AGI future (If AGI is created and doesn’t wipe out humanity) be really nice and compassionate to criminals ?

Jul 28, 11:30 PMJan 1, 12:13 AM

70.53%chance

8148

OptionVotes

NO

YES

175

85

Will Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) spontaneously experience bodhicitta?

Jan 4, 10:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41%chance

10138

OptionVotes

YES

NO

176

145

The most powerful people are on average more or less virtuous than the average person

Jan 31, 8:37 AM

260

Which of the following groups do you feel the strongest compassion and moral concern for, on an emotional level?

May 21, 1:40 AM

160

is it possible to love a jose luis ricon so much that it finally turns into self-compassion?

May 1, 7:52 PM

40

Spiritualist/Literalist // Game/Episteme Political Compass

Nov 9, 8:07 PM

420

Where would you place yourself on the 3-axis political compass?

May 3, 5:21 PM

440

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