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Top stories

Apple Says UK Competition Plan Risks Delays and Weakens iPhone Security

Apple Says UK Competition Plan Risks Delays and Weakens iPhone Security

Authors

6

10 months ago

Prediction markets for Competition and Markets Authority

Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Jan 7, 4:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

609236

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

Independents

50

50

0

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.69%chance

186390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5110

196

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1031

884

Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)

Jan 12, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.66%chance

12591

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1516

660

Which college will get 3rd place on the 2026 Putnam exam?

May 3, 6:52 AMFeb 16, 4:59 AM

3189

OptionProbability

Stanford

Harvard

UChicago

Other

Carnegie Mellon

Caltech

43

19

12

12

7

7

Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?

Mar 13, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

46.84%chance

6163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1065

939

Will Guan Heng be deported from the US to China?

Dec 15, 7:21 AMJun 30, 7:05 AM

17.83%chance

212

OptionVotes

YES

NO

112

97

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