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Prediction markets for Competition Authority

Who will be the 2022-23 Gravity Chess Champion?

Jul 11, 11:19 PMMay 11, 3:59 AM

42285254

OptionProbability

epicJames

Dyusha Gritsevskiy

epic

Other

Michelle Hung

Simon Popovic

ANTE

Louie

Derik K

Sophia

epicepoch

Valeria

me

Gal Raz

sdfgsdfgsdfg

76

12

12

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Jan 7, 4:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

567445

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

Independents

50

50

0

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.7%chance

176384

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5104

196

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.32%chance

10544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1063

784

Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)

Jan 12, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

67.52%chance

10472

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1442

694

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

55

53

51

50

28

Which college will get 3rd place on the 2025 Putnam exam?

May 3, 6:52 AMFeb 16, 4:59 AM

2183

OptionProbability

Stanford

Harvard

UChicago

Other

Carnegie Mellon

Caltech

43

19

12

12

7

7

Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?

Mar 13, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

46.84%chance

6163

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1065

939

Will Guan Heng be deported from the US to China?

Dec 15, 7:21 AMJun 30, 7:05 AM

20%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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