Competition Authority News

Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Jan 7, 4:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

609236

OptionProbability

Democrats

Republicans

Independents

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.69%chance

186390

OptionVotes

YES

5110

196

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

YES

1031

884

Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)

Jan 12, 7:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.8%chance

12596

OptionVotes

YES

1521

658

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

Will I get accepted to the August Iliad Intensive?

Jun 5, 4:38 PMJun 30, 10:59 AM

55.34%chance

4287

OptionVotes

YES

1113

898

Which college will get 3rd place on the 2026 Putnam exam?

May 3, 6:52 AMFeb 16, 4:59 AM

3189

OptionProbability

Stanford

Harvard

UChicago

Other

Carnegie Mellon

Caltech

Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?

Mar 13, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

46.84%chance

6163

OptionVotes

YES

1065

939

Will Guan Heng be deported from the US to China?

Dec 15, 7:21 AMJun 30, 7:05 AM

17.83%chance

212

OptionVotes

YES

112

Competition Authority News

Prediction markets for Competition Authority

Prediction markets for Competition Authority

Prediction markets for Competition Authority

Who will control the U.S. Senate after the 2026 midterms?

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Alcoa's aluminum segment 2026 production exceeds 2.3 Mt (2,300 kt)

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Will I get accepted to the August Iliad Intensive?

Which college will get 3rd place on the 2026 Putnam exam?

Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?

Will Guan Heng be deported from the US to China?

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