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Prediction markets for Competition Commission

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.79%chance

207906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7404

135

Will any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027

Mar 19, 4:50 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.39%chance

131949

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2439

410

Will FIDE lift restrictions on transgender players by the end of 2027?

Aug 24, 7:54 PMJan 1, 9:59 PM

15.29%chance

231479

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1860

88

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

18.17%chance

16992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1100

977

Will the GOP face a serious third party competition by midterms 2030?

Mar 13, 10:46 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

49.43%chance

7213

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1011

989

At the end of 2030 which company will be worth more Coinbase (COIN) or Robinhood (Hood)?

Jun 11, 9:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

6130

OptionProbability

Robinhood (HOOD)

Coinbase (COIN)

56

44

Will the US use access to AI as leverage in trade negotiations with the EU before 2028?

Jun 27, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.93%chance

476

OptionVotes

NO

YES

139

72

After the acquisition of Teka group by chinese Midea, will they close the production site of Teka sinks in spain?

Oct 22, 8:33 PMDec 31, 9:26 PM

39.79%chance

123

OptionVotes

YES

NO

123

81

US-China Track 1 AI dialogue commits to shared AI safety benchmark by '27?

Apr 14, 6:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

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