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Prediction markets for Composite

Will AI achieve superintelligence in music composition by 2026?

Dec 1, 12:38 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.48%chance

353376

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1174

939

Are there infinitely many composite Fermat numbers?

Oct 28, 3:16 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

98.43%chance

31218

OptionVotes

NO

YES

510

24

Danantara SOEs outperform IDX Composite by >5% within 12 months of Feb 24, 2025 consolidation

Mar 12, 3:31 PMFeb 24, 12:00 AM

31.97%chance

41022

OptionVotes

YES

NO

146

69

Is the Higgs composite?

Jun 8, 7:22 PMJan 2, 6:59 AM

20.5%chance

23823

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1228

896

Will we discover a new, (believed to be) non-composite particle by 2050?

Dec 31, 7:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.53%chance

18297

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1026

974

Religious Composition of the Planet in 2030

Apr 14, 1:20 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

6239

OptionProbability

Christianity

Other

Islam

Hinduism

Unaffiliated / Agnostic

Buddhism

Atheism

Folk Religions

Judaism

24

24

19

12

9

4

4

3

2

Meta-Learning Compositionality (MLC) in state of the art AI models by Oct. 2025?

Oct 26, 11:00 AMOct 1, 9:59 PM

17.37%chance

7155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

258

77

Lehmer's totient problem: Is there a composite solution to φ(n) | n-1?

Sep 17, 10:47 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

30.02%chance

586

OptionVotes

YES

NO

171

106

Will SSE composite index double till 2035? (Shanghai stock market)

Nov 5, 8:10 PMNov 10, 10:59 PM

80%chance

150

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

25

Will a research study be done showing % microplastic composition of bowhead whale brain by EOY2029?

Sep 18, 3:50 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

Will there be a Python implementation of the Open Game Engine (a Compositional Game Theory Model Checker) before 2028?

Apr 13, 12:53 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

100

100

What would be your forecast for the trading price of the Shanghai Composite Stock Market Index on the last day of 2023?

Sep 18, 8:36 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Other

50

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