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Prediction markets for Computing News

Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029

Oct 31, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

37%chance

2714421

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1306

767

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.04%chance

264557

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3638

276

Catholic church recognizes AI souls by 2040?

May 9, 2:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

17.45%chance

434194

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2175

460

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

46.61%chance

211358

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1266

436

Biotech creates a technology rivaling AI

Apr 25, 5:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.86%chance

81027

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1739

575

Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?

Jun 15, 1:27 PMMay 31, 4:00 AM

64.02%chance

20691

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

775

Will Moltbook solve any open FrontierMath problems in 2026?

Feb 2, 11:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.8%chance

9480

OptionVotes

YES

NO

445

22

Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?

Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.61%chance

17461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

596

Company announces commercial room-temperature quantum processing unit (QPU) by EOY2027?

Jul 10, 2:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.63%chance

6378

OptionVotes

YES

NO

348

29

In 2025, will more Americans relocate due to the 2024 US election than will relocate in 2037 due to the Year 2038 Bug?

Nov 10, 12:04 AMFeb 17, 6:59 AM

52.53%chance

252

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

951

Will any single datacenter PPA ≥1GW be announced by a hyperscaler before 2026-12-31?

May 4, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.35%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

Will any sovereign-AI deal ≥$10B be announced before 2026-12-31?

May 4, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.3%chance

11

OptionVotes

YES

NO

101

98

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