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Prediction markets for Computing News

Space datacenter industry generates $100M+ annual revenue by December 31, 2029

Oct 31, 7:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

38.08%chance

3215738

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1276

785

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.9%chance

316987

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4412

227

Catholic church recognizes AI souls by 2040?

May 9, 2:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16%chance

455379

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2291

436

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

52.24%chance

251469

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1334

367

Biotech creates a technology rivaling AI

Apr 25, 5:00 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

24.86%chance

81027

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1739

575

Will a international AI watchdog body enter into force by May 30, 2027?

Jun 15, 1:27 PMMay 31, 4:00 AM

64.02%chance

20691

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1093

775

Will Moltbook solve any open FrontierMath problems in 2026?

Feb 2, 11:54 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.7%chance

9518

OptionVotes

YES

NO

407

25

Will Neuralink's PRIME study report any unanticipated adverse device reactions?

Jan 31, 8:39 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

60.61%chance

17461

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1173

596

Airstrike on a UK datacenter before 2035?

Jul 8, 11:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.98%chance

5254

OptionVotes

YES

NO

248

40

In 2025, will more Americans relocate due to the 2024 US election than will relocate in 2037 due to the Year 2038 Bug?

Nov 10, 12:04 AMFeb 17, 6:59 AM

52.53%chance

252

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1052

951

Will any sovereign-AI deal ≥$10B be announced before 2026-12-31?

May 4, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.5%chance

25

OptionVotes

NO

YES

102

99

Will any single datacenter PPA ≥1GW be announced by a hyperscaler before 2026-12-31?

May 4, 8:22 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.35%chance

11

OptionVotes

NO

YES

101

99

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