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Computing Research Association News
Prediction markets for Computing Research Association
Prediction markets for Computing Research Association
Will there be a consensus that hypercomputation is possible by the end of 2050?
Jun 8, 10:05 AM
Jan 1, 10:59 PM
12.22%
chance
20
3337
Option
Votes
YES
NO
2681
373
Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?
Sep 29, 7:48 AM
Dec 31, 3:59 PM
25.25%
chance
17
944
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1016
905
Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2025?
Jul 11, 6:00 PM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
54.7%
chance
2
400
Option
Votes
NO
YES
2198
1820
Will major AI research institutions adopt AI tax policy as a research priority by the end of 2027?
Jun 30, 9:06 AM
Dec 31, 10:59 PM
4
240
Option
Probability
Yes
No
Other
54
23
23
Before 2043, will a leading-edge process node feature a new transistor design fewer than 10 years after its invention?
Jun 5, 10:42 PM
Jan 1, 4:59 AM
56.97%
chance
2
50
Option
Votes
NO
YES
106
73
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