OptionProbability
Pilot Action: Pilot action was a primary cause of the crash.
Design/Manufacturing Defect: A Boeing design or manufacturing defect was a primary cause of the crash.
Maintenance/Fueling Lapse: An Air India maintenance or fueling lapse was a primary cause of the crash.
89
22
17
Some year after 2040.
AGI will end humanity before such a consensus will be reached
2029
2030
2028
2031
Such a consensus will never be reached because such an AI is not possible to create
2025
2026
2027
2032
2033
2024
2034
2037
2023
2035
2036
2038
2039
2040
34
11
6
5
4
3
2
1
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1198
893
2362
423
526
19
1149
926
75
65
