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Prediction markets for Congress Legislative Party

Will the next Republican victory lead to an unprecedented consolidation of power?

Nov 5, 3:49 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

5.6%chance

345337

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1410

941

Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026

Feb 7, 3:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.92%chance

113578

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13205

7968

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.76%chance

141621

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1613

620

Will the Forward Party become a meaningful actor in the US political scene?

Aug 2, 4:40 PMNov 7, 10:59 PM

3.47%chance

181065

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1257

956

Will the US government undergo significant, large scale decline by 2050?

Jun 24, 8:44 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

84.51%chance

15836

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1123

942

If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?

Jul 21, 11:15 AMNov 8, 12:14 PM

59.7%chance

12390

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1217

822

¿# de curules ganados por LyR en las elecciones de Honduras 2025? / # of seats won by L&R in Honduras' 2025 elections?

Nov 30, 11:54 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

6317

OptionProbability

31-40 curules/seats

41-50 curules/seats

21-30 curules/seats

51-60 curules/seats

61-70 curules/seats

0-20 curules/seats

71+ curules/seats

39

29

16

11

5

4

4

¿# de curules ganados por el PL en las elecciones de Honduras 2025? # of seats won by the LP in Honduras 2025 elections?

Nov 30, 11:37 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

5265

OptionProbability

31-40 curules/seats

21-30 curules/seats

41-50 curules/seats

51-60 curules/seats

0-20 curules/seats

61-70 curules/seats

71+ curules/seats

39

24

23

6

5

5

5

¿# de curules ganados por el PN en las elecciones de Honduras 2025? # of seats won by the NP in Honduras 2025 elections?

Nov 30, 11:42 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

5255

OptionProbability

31-40 curules/seats

41-50 curules/seats

21-30 curules/seats

51-60 curules/seats

0-20 curules/seats

61-70 curules/seats

71+ curules/seats

39

29

16

8

7

7

7

Republican Congress speaks out against Trump in 2025?

Apr 9, 11:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.3%chance

5116

OptionVotes

YES

NO

198

50

Will Partido Novo gain at least 2 seats in the 2026 Brazilian national legislative elections to the Chamber of Deputies?

Mar 24, 6:21 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

47.56%chance

225

OptionVotes

YES

NO

105

95

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