OptionProbability
State of the Union address is given by Trump
President wearing a tie with any red
President will get heckled or booed
Ukraine is mentioned
Someone in audience holds up prop during speech
5 or more people coordinate outfits
"Israel" will be mentioned
Elon Musk is in attendance
US territory is mentioned
"Hamas" will be mentioned
Non-US World Leader in attendance
AOC is in attendance
Putin will be mentioned by name
Supreme Court Justices clap in response to at least one thing
Someone is removed from the chamber during the speech
2026 State of the Union address is canceled
No elected Democrats in attendance
93
69
68
65
59
57
55
50
45
43
41
39
33
12
11
OptionVotes
YES
NO
1075
600
365
138
1007
972
[0-1]
[2-3]
[4-5]
[6-7]
[8-10]
[11-100]
17
16
[6-10]
[11-20]
[21-100]