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Prediction markets for Congress Party

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

6.2%chance

600533528

OptionVotes

YES

NO

40721

17859

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

32%chance

788397421

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5430

3850

Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026

Feb 7, 3:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3.59%chance

2365063

OptionVotes

YES

NO

54752

2507

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.79%chance

207906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7404

135

Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 9:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.19%chance

277661

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5510

182

If Democrats win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block Democratic winners from being seated?

Sep 23, 6:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

37.22%chance

202990

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6150

5544

Will any third party gain more than 5 concurrent seats in Congress before the end of 2032

Oct 2, 4:08 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

14.09%chance

172631

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1300

875

Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.

Jan 12, 9:24 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

121869

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

94

6

Musk party member elected to US congress in 2026?

Jul 6, 5:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.91%chance

231319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

578

17

Which party will control congress after the 2028 elections

Mar 27, 10:05 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

121053

OptionProbability

Democratic

Republican

Another party

50

39

11

Which party will hold the majority in the US Senate of the 120th Congress in January 2027?

Jan 12, 9:27 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

23776

OptionProbability

Republican

Democrat

51

49

Will the USA congress have a Green Party or Libertarian member first before EOY 2027?

Jan 1, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8230

OptionProbability

neither before EOY 2027

Libertarian

Greens

86

11

3

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