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Prediction markets for Congress party

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

40.67%chance

554181322

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2676

2061

Will any current Congress member join the America Party in 2025?

Jul 5, 8:16 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

8.88%chance

303709

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3204

312

Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026

Feb 7, 3:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.92%chance

113578

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13205

7968

Will any third party gain more than 5 concurrent seats in Congress before the end of 2032

Oct 2, 4:08 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

15.36%chance

172529

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1198

893

Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 9:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.28%chance

212284

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1675

597

Democrats win 2028 election?

Aug 1, 8:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

58.12%chance

251823

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1178

849

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.76%chance

141621

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1613

620

Musk party member elected to US congress in 2026?

Jul 6, 5:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.37%chance

211209

OptionVotes

YES

NO

468

21

In 2025, will any member of U.S. Congress change their party affiliation?

Oct 22, 4:35 PMJan 1, 11:01 AM

64.57%chance

7650

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1350

741

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

Jul 10, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.73%chance

13546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1158

864

Will any head of executive department appointed in the 2025-2029 Administration leave office in 2025?

Nov 10, 10:44 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

57.38%chance

11511

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1160

862

Will any current member of Congress leave their party before 2026.

Mar 11, 12:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14.51%chance

10470

OptionVotes

YES

NO

294

29

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