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Prediction markets for Congress Party

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

30.11%chance

687291876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5722

3714

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

16.59%chance

319259894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1741

786

Will any current Congress member join the America Party in 2025?

Jul 5, 8:16 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

1.52%chance

3726075

OptionVotes

YES

NO

8040

124

Will Xi Jinping continue to lead China through end of 2028?

Oct 24, 1:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

63.56%chance

8313318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1179

1005

Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026

Feb 7, 3:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.42%chance

147528

OptionVotes

YES

NO

17141

6445

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.03%chance

175141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4347

230

Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 9:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.72%chance

213813

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1956

511

In 2025, will any member of U.S. Congress change their party affiliation?

Oct 22, 4:35 PMJan 1, 11:01 AM

9.62%chance

142974

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3065

326

Will any third party gain more than 5 concurrent seats in Congress before the end of 2032

Oct 2, 4:08 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

15.34%chance

172531

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1200

892

Democrats win 2028 election?

Aug 1, 8:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.79%chance

261873

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1146

872

Musk party member elected to US congress in 2026?

Jul 6, 5:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.91%chance

231319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

578

17

Will any current member of Congress leave their party before 2026.

Mar 11, 12:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

5.08%chance

12700

OptionVotes

YES

NO

448

14

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