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Prediction markets for Congress Party

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

26.46%chance

750336450

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6381

3459

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

11.85%chance

334275403

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2288

697

Will Xi Jinping continue to lead China through end of 2028?

Oct 24, 1:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

63.33%chance

8313325

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1172

1009

Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026

Feb 7, 3:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

15.85%chance

1412778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

22391

5186

Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 9:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.44%chance

257148

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5297

189

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.38%chance

176141

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5347

187

Will any third party gain more than 5 concurrent seats in Congress before the end of 2032

Oct 2, 4:08 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

14.09%chance

172631

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1300

875

Republicans win 2028 election?

Aug 1, 8:28 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

43%chance

222063

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1151

869

Musk party member elected to US congress in 2026?

Jul 6, 5:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.91%chance

231319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

578

17

Which party will hold the majority in the US Senate of the 120th Congress in January 2027?

Jan 12, 9:27 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

11323

OptionProbability

Republican

Democrat

59

41

Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.

Jan 12, 9:24 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

5293

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

88

12

Will the USA congress have a Green Party or Libertarian member first before EOY 2027?

Jan 1, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7229

OptionProbability

neither before EOY 2027

Libertarian

Greens

87

10

3

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