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Prediction markets for Congress Party

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

24.84%chance

783394684

OptionVotes

YES

NO

6715

3343

Republicans have a House majority after 2026 midterms?

Jun 8, 6:16 PMNov 4, 11:59 PM

18.54%chance

412383075

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1587

819

Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026

Feb 7, 3:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

9.03%chance

1927975

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31877

3892

Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 9:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.14%chance

277404

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5553

180

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.69%chance

186390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5110

196

Democrats win 2028 US Presidential Election?

Aug 1, 8:26 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.98%chance

384039

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1224

817

Will any third party gain more than 5 concurrent seats in Congress before the end of 2032

Oct 2, 4:08 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

14.09%chance

172631

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1300

875

Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.

Jan 12, 9:24 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

101506

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

82

18

Musk party member elected to US congress in 2026?

Jul 6, 5:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.91%chance

231319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

578

17

Which party will control congress after the 2028 elections

Mar 27, 10:05 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

10726

OptionProbability

Democratic

Another party

Republican

50

27

23

Which party will hold the majority in the US Senate of the 120th Congress in January 2027?

Jan 12, 9:27 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

22705

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

52

48

Will the USA congress have a Green Party or Libertarian member first before EOY 2027?

Jan 1, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8230

OptionProbability

neither before EOY 2027

Libertarian

Greens

86

11

3

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