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Prediction markets for Congress Party

Will Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?

Oct 26, 3:24 PMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

8.77%chance

793414172

OptionVotes

YES

NO

14104

2043

Carried Interest Repeal by End of 2026

Feb 7, 3:15 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

3%chance

26155752

OptionVotes

YES

NO

60647

2307

If Dems win the House or Senate in 2026, will officials try to block a working Democratic majority from being seated?

Sep 23, 6:08 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

15.73%chance

16740693

OptionVotes

YES

NO

24642

5236

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026

Jul 9, 9:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.79%chance

207906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

7404

135

Will Musk-backed third-party candidate(s) win any seats in Congress by the end of 2026?

Jul 5, 9:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3.19%chance

277661

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5510

182

Balance of power: who will control the presidency, Senate and House after the 2028 US elections?

Nov 5, 11:13 PMNov 8, 12:00 PM

43415

OptionProbability

D President, D Senate, D House (Democratic trifecta)

R President, D Senate, R House

R President, R Senate, R House (Republican trifecta)

D President, D Senate, R House

R President, D Senate, D House

D President, R Senate, R House

D President, R Senate, D House

R President, R Senate, D House

61

10

8

8

6

3

2

2

Will any third party gain more than 5 concurrent seats in Congress before the end of 2032

Oct 2, 4:08 AMJan 1, 6:59 AM

14.09%chance

172631

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1300

875

Which party will hold the majority in the House of Representatives in January 2027 in the 120th Congress.

Jan 12, 9:24 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

142270

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

94

6

Musk party member elected to US congress in 2026?

Jul 6, 5:29 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.91%chance

231319

OptionVotes

YES

NO

578

17

Which party will control congress after the 2028 elections

Mar 27, 10:05 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

131153

OptionProbability

Democratic

Republican

Another party

57

33

10

Which party will hold the majority in the US Senate of the 120th Congress in January 2027?

Jan 12, 9:27 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

25833

OptionProbability

Democrat

Republican

62

38

Will the USA congress have a Green Party or Libertarian member first before EOY 2027?

Jan 1, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9231

OptionProbability

neither before EOY 2027

Libertarian

Greens

86

11

3

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