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Prediction markets for Congressional

Treasury shuts off Congressionally authorized payments to Department of Education by December 31, 2025

Feb 4, 4:53 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.74%chance

258597

OptionVotes

NO

YES

10639

9487

If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?

Jun 30, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

25.6%chance

141992

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2498

936

Will Lula's 3rd term in Brazil have above-average (>75%) congressional support?

Nov 12, 5:42 PMJan 2, 2:59 AM

43.36%chance

151318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1072

880

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2030?

Aug 5, 6:05 PMNov 5, 6:54 PM

16.82%chance

18779

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1162

946

Will there be a United States congressional hearing about the CrowdStrike-caused IT outage?

Jul 19, 10:07 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

74.68%chance

11627

OptionVotes

NO

YES

172

58

Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?

Jul 10, 1:17 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

42.73%chance

13546

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1158

864

The 2026 US Congressional election will be free and fair

Mar 17, 7:17 PMDec 2, 4:59 AM

74.28%chance

8340

OptionVotes

NO

YES

170

59

Will Texas redraw its congressional maps before November 2026?

Jun 11, 6:54 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

40.42%chance

4290

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1214

824

Will there be any Congressional Special Election flips in the 119th Congress?

Dec 4, 10:41 PMNov 3, 10:59 PM

24.6%chance

2105

OptionVotes

YES

NO

175

57

Will gerrymandering U.S. Congressional districts be illegal in the U.S. by 2040?

Aug 5, 6:07 PMNov 6, 6:54 PM

32%chance

892

OptionVotes

YES

NO

189

156

Will there be a Congressional hearing about the coverup to Biden's mental decline by EOY2027?

Dec 28, 11:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.69%chance

390

OptionVotes

YES

NO

190

53

Which Representative or Senator will have the highest WAR in the 2026 Midterm US Congressional Elections?

Jan 21, 6:12 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

242

OptionProbability

Susan Collins (R|ME-SEN)

Other

Dusty Johnson (R|SD-AL)

Jack Reed (D|CT-SEN)

Brian Fitzpatrick (R|PA-01)

Kristen McDonald Rivet (D|MI-08)

Grace Meng (D|NY-6)

Henry Cuellar (D|TX-26)

50

24

4

4

4

4

4

4

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