Consolidated News

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Dec 8, 4:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

118116006

OptionProbability

Other

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including ChatGPT or any other variation)

Xi Jinping

Zohran Mamdani

The People of Minnesota (and other variations)

Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)

Jerome Powell

Jensen Huang

Mark Carney

Self Driving Cars (Uber, Waymo, etc.)

Sam Altman

Benjamin Netanyahu

Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

[Next FOMC Chair]

Robots (not self driving cars)

Epstein

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Nov 30, 7:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

14387898

OptionProbability

Other

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including 'ChatGPT', 'Gemini', etc)

Xi Jinping

Vladimir Putin

Elon Musk

Zohran Mamdani

Sam Altman

Gavin Newsom

Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)

Gen Z

Jeffrey Epstein

Self Driving Cars (Including 'Waymo', 'Uber', etc)

Marco Rubio

Benjamin Netanyahu

AOC

Jerome Powell

Sydney Sweeney

Demis Hassabis

Larry Ellison

Jensen Huang

Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

Nicholas Maduro

Mark Zuckerberg

Dario Amodei

Lisa Su

Fei-Fei Li

Humanoid Robots (Including 'Optimus', 'Atlas', etc)

Millenials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Scott Bessent

Sundar Pichai

Narendra Modi

Ursula von der Leyen

Jasmine Crockett

Graham Platner

Kevin Hassett

Gen Alpha

Claudia Sheinbaum

Cryptocurrency (Including 'Bitcoin', 'Etherium', etc)

Ahmed al-Sharaa

[ACX 2026] How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2026?

Jan 6, 10:28 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

348038

OptionProbability

Mixed ruling

Tariffs unlawful

Tariffs lawful

Other ruling

No 2026 ruling

Will the next Republican victory lead to an unprecedented consolidation of power?

Nov 5, 3:49 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

5.74%chance

355339

OptionVotes

YES

1377

943

Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?

Jan 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

10.22%chance

22109

OptionVotes

YES

2964

337

Danantara SOEs outperform IDX Composite by >5% within 12 months of Feb 24, 2025 consolidation

Mar 12, 3:31 PMFeb 24, 12:00 AM

31.97%chance

41022

OptionVotes

YES

146

Is the "Game of Thrones" theory of what happened at OpenAI broadly accurate?

Nov 24, 12:08 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

26.43%chance

18857

OptionVotes

YES

1123

934

Will Elon Musk create a parent company to consolidate his various business interests (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, etc.) by 2027

Oct 17, 10:38 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

18.07%chance

17593

OptionVotes

YES

1231

916

Netherlands raises standard naturalization residency requirement to ≥10 years by Dec 31, 2026?

Oct 27, 3:29 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

56.39%chance

4505

OptionVotes

YES

1137

879

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

YES

1081

928

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Feb 1, 11:35 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

5331

OptionProbability

Miscellaneous Savings Initiatives

Cutting Wasteful Spending at the Department of Defense (DoD)

Cutting Waste, Fraud, and Abuse in Federal Healthcare Programs

Improving Efficiency Across Federal Agencies

Targeting Tax Loopholes and Inefficiencies

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

Dec 22, 7:01 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

48.19%chance

599

OptionVotes

YES

104

Consolidated News

Prediction markets for Consolidated

Prediction markets for Consolidated

Prediction markets for Consolidated

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

[ACX 2026] How will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tariffs in 2026?

Will the next Republican victory lead to an unprecedented consolidation of power?

Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?

Danantara SOEs outperform IDX Composite by >5% within 12 months of Feb 24, 2025 consolidation

Is the "Game of Thrones" theory of what happened at OpenAI broadly accurate?

Will Elon Musk create a parent company to consolidate his various business interests (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, etc.) by 2027

Netherlands raises standard naturalization residency requirement to ≥10 years by Dec 31, 2026?

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Will any of the proposals in Elizabeth Warren’s letter to DOGE be implemented by 2030?

Prediction markets legalized in India by 2035?

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