Consolidated News

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Dec 8, 4:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

135127633

OptionProbability

Other

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including ChatGPT or any other variation)

Zohran Mamdani

Sam Altman

Xi Jinping

Mark Carney

Benjamin Netanyahu

Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)

Jerome Powell

Jensen Huang

Self Driving Cars (Uber, Waymo, etc.)

The People of Minnesota (and other variations)

Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

[Next FOMC Chair]

Robots (not self driving cars)

Epstein

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Nov 30, 7:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

166101364

OptionProbability

Other

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including 'ChatGPT', 'Gemini', etc)

Bad Bunny

Zohran Mamdani

Marco Rubio

Xi Jinping

Benjamin Netanyahu

Elon Musk

Prediction Markets [Or associated person, company, etc]

Sam Altman

Vladimir Putin

Gavin Newsom

Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)

Jeffrey Epstein

Dario Amodei

James Talarico

AOC

Jerome Powell

Sydney Sweeney

Demis Hassabis

Larry Ellison

Jensen Huang

Gen Z

Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

Nicholas Maduro

Mark Zuckerberg

Self Driving Cars (Including 'Waymo', 'Uber', etc)

Lisa Su

Fei-Fei Li

Humanoid Robots (Including 'Optimus', 'Atlas', etc)

Millenials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Scott Bessent

Sundar Pichai

Narendra Modi

Ursula von der Leyen

Jasmine Crockett

Graham Platner

Kevin Hassett

Gen Alpha

Claudia Sheinbaum

Cryptocurrency (Including 'Bitcoin', 'Etherium', etc)

Ahmed al-Sharaa

Jon Ossoff

Kevin Warsh

BTC close above 80K by end of March?

Mar 2, 6:28 PMApr 1, 8:59 PM

4.5%chance

3114651

OptionVotes

YES

4606

217

Will the next Republican victory lead to an unprecedented consolidation of power?

Nov 5, 3:49 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

5.74%chance

355339

OptionVotes

YES

1377

943

Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?

Jan 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

10.22%chance

22109

OptionVotes

YES

2964

337

Is the "Game of Thrones" theory of what happened at OpenAI broadly accurate?

Nov 24, 12:08 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

26.43%chance

18857

OptionVotes

YES

1123

934

Will Elon Musk create a parent company to consolidate his various business interests (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, etc.) by 2027

Oct 17, 10:38 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

18.07%chance

17593

OptionVotes

YES

1231

916

Netherlands raises standard naturalization residency requirement to ≥10 years by Dec 31, 2026?

Oct 27, 3:29 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

56.39%chance

4505

OptionVotes

YES

1137

879

Will OpenAI release a super-app combining ChatGPT, Codex, and Atlass apps, before May 1 2026?

Mar 22, 3:26 AMApr 30, 11:59 PM

45.86%chance

12446

OptionVotes

YES

1087

920

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

YES

1081

928

Will bitcoin cash hit $600 before April?

Feb 24, 3:57 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

49.62%chance

8344

OptionVotes

YES

101

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

YES

1051

819

Consolidated News

Prediction markets for Consolidated

Prediction markets for Consolidated

Prediction markets for Consolidated

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

BTC close above 80K by end of March?

Will the next Republican victory lead to an unprecedented consolidation of power?

Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?

Is the "Game of Thrones" theory of what happened at OpenAI broadly accurate?

Will Elon Musk create a parent company to consolidate his various business interests (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, etc.) by 2027

Netherlands raises standard naturalization residency requirement to ≥10 years by Dec 31, 2026?

Will OpenAI release a super-app combining ChatGPT, Codex, and Atlass apps, before May 1 2026?

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Will bitcoin cash hit $600 before April?

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Latest stories