Consolidated News

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Dec 8, 4:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

266162643

OptionProbability

Other

Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including ChatGPT or any other variation)

Elon Musk

Zohran Mamdani

Dario Amodei

Sam Altman

Xi Jinping

Artemis II crew

Benjamin Netanyahu

Jerome Powell

Jensen Huang

Mark Carney

The People of Minnesota (and other variations)

Epstein

Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

Self Driving Cars (Uber, Waymo, etc.)

[Next FOMC Chair]

Robots (not self driving cars)

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Nov 30, 7:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

204137715

OptionProbability

Other

Donald Trump and/or JD Vance

Pope Leo XIV (Robert Prevost)

Zohran Mamdani

Elon Musk

Artificial Intelligence Itself (Including 'ChatGPT', 'Gemini', etc)

Xi Jinping

Marco Rubio

James Talarico

Sam Altman

Vladimir Putin

Benjamin Netanyahu

Dario Amodei

Self Driving Cars (Including 'Waymo', 'Uber', etc)

Graham Platner

Jon Ossoff

Bad Bunny

Pete Hegseth

Gavin Newsom

AOC

Jerome Powell

Sydney Sweeney

Demis Hassabis

Larry Ellison

Jensen Huang

Gen Z

Jeffrey Epstein

Ozempic (Including "Semiglutide", "GLPs", "Eli Lily", etc )

Nicholas Maduro

Mark Zuckerberg

Lisa Su

Fei-Fei Li

Humanoid Robots (Including 'Optimus', 'Atlas', etc)

Millenials

Gen X

Baby Boomers

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Scott Bessent

Sundar Pichai

Narendra Modi

Ursula von der Leyen

Jasmine Crockett

Kevin Hassett

Gen Alpha

Claudia Sheinbaum

Cryptocurrency (Including 'Bitcoin', 'Etherium', etc)

Ahmed al-Sharaa

Prediction Markets [Or associated person, company, etc]

Kevin Warsh

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2028 Person of the Year?

Dec 11, 6:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

205983

OptionProbability

[The presidential Democratic nominee and/or VP]

Other

[The presidential Republican nominee and/or VP]

Xi Jinping

[The Pope]

[Indian PM]

Mohammed bin Salman

Vladimir Putin

[Israeli PM]

[Ukrainian President]

Claudia Sheinbaum

[President of the European Commission]

Taylor Swift

MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson)

Elon Musk

Will the next Republican victory lead to an unprecedented consolidation of power?

Nov 5, 3:49 PMNov 5, 11:59 PM

5.74%chance

355339

OptionVotes

YES

1377

943

Will Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.8 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

35.03%chance

55068

OptionVotes

YES

13618

7343

Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?

Jan 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

10.22%chance

22109

OptionVotes

YES

2964

337

Is the "Game of Thrones" theory of what happened at OpenAI broadly accurate?

Nov 24, 12:08 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

26.43%chance

18857

OptionVotes

YES

1123

934

Netherlands raises standard naturalization residency requirement to ≥10 years by Dec 31, 2026?

Oct 27, 3:29 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

51%chance

6799

OptionVotes

YES

1020

980

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.59%chance

12744

OptionVotes

YES

1031

884

Will Elon Musk create a parent company to consolidate his various business interests (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, etc.) by 2027

Oct 17, 10:38 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

18.14%chance

18594

OptionVotes

YES

1226

917

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Aug 10, 5:55 PMDec 18, 2:59 PM

59.88%chance

19407

OptionVotes

YES

1081

928

Resurgence or Consolidation? Where will the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) close at the end of June?

Jun 1, 2:14 PMJun 29, 8:59 PM

222

OptionProbability

99.16 to 99.83 - Bullish Resurgence

98.49 to 99.16 - holds steady near current levels

Greater than 99.83 - toward the psychological 100

Less than 98.49 - Bearish Breakdown

Consolidated News

Prediction markets for Consolidated

Prediction markets for Consolidated

Prediction markets for Consolidated

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?

Who will be TIME Magazine's 2028 Person of the Year?

Will the next Republican victory lead to an unprecedented consolidation of power?

Will Emirates Global Aluminium (EGA)'s primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.8 million tonnes?

Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?

Is the "Game of Thrones" theory of what happened at OpenAI broadly accurate?

Netherlands raises standard naturalization residency requirement to ≥10 years by Dec 31, 2026?

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Will Elon Musk create a parent company to consolidate his various business interests (e.g., Tesla, SpaceX, etc.) by 2027

Do short sleeper genes exist, and do they accelerate repair proccesses?

Resurgence or Consolidation? Where will the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) close at the end of June?

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