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Prediction markets for Constitution

Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?

Jul 10, 8:22 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

83.49%chance

14844993

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2115

209

Will an application to ban AfD be filed at the Federal Constitutional Court before 2026?

Jan 22, 4:05 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

12%chance

2423827

OptionVotes

YES

NO

12196

9630

If Trump becomes constitutionally eligible to run for a third term, and runs, will he win?

Feb 19, 4:18 AMNov 9, 5:59 AM

59.67%chance

798190

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1216

822

If asked, will the German Constitutional Court decide to ban the AfD?

Jan 20, 9:46 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

35%chance

372571

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1139

599

Will the United States of America hold a Constitutional Convention by 2050?

Jun 3, 6:31 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

34.3%chance

221821

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1384

722

Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2040?

Jan 21, 3:20 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

77.76%chance

251360

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1132

935

If Trump wins, will he or any member of his cabinet criticize the Constitution by the 2026 midterms?

Mar 10, 11:11 AMNov 4, 7:59 PM

77.12%chance

201243

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1299

868

Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2050?

Jan 21, 4:20 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

62.68%chance

16778

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1002

972

Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2070?

Jan 21, 7:15 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

62.72%chance

17732

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1025

930

Tesla's fleet sales constitute over 30% of total vehicle sales by December 31, 2027

Jun 4, 9:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

27.92%chance

9682

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1607

622

Will the UK be a constitutional monarchy in 2100?

Jan 21, 8:20 AMDec 31, 11:00 AM

53.19%chance

17442

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

991

Will there be a US Constitutional Convention before 2100?

Apr 14, 6:55 AMDec 31, 12:00 PM

37.73%chance

14250

OptionVotes

YES

NO

998

995

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