Constitutional Council News

Les Républicains Back Dati for Paris Mayor as She Exits By-Election

7 months ago

what will be the result of the Italian constitutional referendum on March 22nd-23rd?

Mar 21, 11:05 AMMar 24, 1:59 PM

20%chance

164127

OptionVotes

YES

200

EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027?

Jan 18, 12:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.29%chance

142955

OptionVotes

YES

2267

441

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25.17%chance

112322

OptionVotes

YES

1724

580

Will a new regime be installed in Iran before April 1st?

Mar 3, 7:40 AMMar 31, 11:59 PM

9.88%chance

232283

OptionVotes

YES

302

Will the Roman Catholic Church allow priests to perform same-sex marriages before 2075?

Sep 28, 3:48 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

45.88%chance

261095

OptionVotes

YES

1240

705

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Mar 1, 4:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.28%chance

7315

OptionVotes

YES

1051

819

Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?

Jan 6, 7:42 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM

687

OptionProbability

Partial - De facto separation exists but no formal international recognition by EOY 2028

No - Yemen is unified under single internationally recognized government by EOY 2028

Yes - Multiple independent states emerge (South Arabia, Houthi state, others) by EOY 2028

Will Dominique de Villepin be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?

Jun 25, 7:08 AMMar 19, 11:59 PM

62.17%chance

581

OptionVotes

YES

128

Italy judicial reform: Will the parliamentary list for lay members be at least 3x the seats to fill?

Mar 12, 11:30 AMDec 31, 12:28 PM

49.97%chance

250

OptionVotes

YES

1001

999

Italy judicial reform: Will the two new CSMs share a single parliamentary list for lay member sortition?

Mar 12, 8:09 PMDec 31, 8:07 PM

32.23%chance

345

OptionVotes

YES

145

Italy judicial reform: Will a High Disciplinary Court ruling be challenged at the ECHR or Corte Costituzionale by 2032?

Mar 12, 11:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

64.57%chance

235

OptionVotes

YES

135

Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?

Nov 16, 7:44 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

OptionVotes

YES

1000

Constitutional Council News

Top stories

Prediction markets for Constitutional Council

Prediction markets for Constitutional Council

Prediction markets for Constitutional Council

what will be the result of the Italian constitutional referendum on March 22nd-23rd?

EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027?

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Will a new regime be installed in Iran before April 1st?

Will the Roman Catholic Church allow priests to perform same-sex marriages before 2075?

Will the US concede Taiwan to the PRC before 2030?

Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?

Will Dominique de Villepin be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?

Italy judicial reform: Will the parliamentary list for lay members be at least 3x the seats to fill?

Italy judicial reform: Will the two new CSMs share a single parliamentary list for lay member sortition?

Italy judicial reform: Will a High Disciplinary Court ruling be challenged at the ECHR or Corte Costituzionale by 2032?

Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?

Latest stories