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Prediction markets for Constitutional Council
EU activates Trade Bazooka against the US before 2027?
Jan 18, 12:26 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
7.68%chance
164526
OptionVotes
3466
288
OptionVotes
1729
578
Will the Roman Catholic Church allow priests to perform same-sex marriages before 2075?
Sep 28, 3:48 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
30.69%chance
311861
OptionVotes
1609
478
Will the European Union dissolve before or during 2030?
May 13, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
2.02%chance
201133
OptionVotes
1559
915
OptionVotes
1100
977
OptionProbability
84
70
67
57
54
54
52
50
47
43
43
38
26
25
24
21
9
Will Dominique de Villepin be a candidate in the 2027 French presidential election?
Jun 25, 7:08 AMMar 19, 11:59 PM
39.42%chance
15548
OptionVotes
124
81
Will Liechtenstein continue to exist as an independent state in 2035?
Aug 6, 3:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
94.34%chance
16491
OptionVotes
408
24
Yemen fragmented into 2 or more internationally recognized countries by EOY 2028?
Jan 6, 7:42 AMJan 1, 6:29 PM
10170
OptionProbability
64
25
11
Will Pittsburgh's paid parental leave ordinance face legal challenge by end of 2027?
Oct 23, 3:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
54.75%chance
212
OptionVotes
110
91
How many candidates will officially qualify for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?
Oct 15, 6:26 AMMar 26, 12:59 AM
26
OptionProbability
12
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
11
Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?
Nov 16, 7:44 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
100
100


