OptionVotes
YES
NO
5832
3671
1424
703
503
20
OptionProbability
Democratic Party
Republican Party
Independent
Other
59
40
1
0
Election, LDP win majority
Election, LDP fail to win majority
No election in February
90
10
1403
713
138
73
1088
915
Partial - De facto separation exists but no formal international recognition by EOY 2028
No - Yemen is unified under single internationally recognized government by EOY 2028
Yes - Multiple independent states emerge (South Arabia, Houthi state, others) by EOY 2028
53
25
22
108
93
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