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Prediction markets for Consumer

Will there be nationwide price controls or rationing of consumer goods by 2027?

Apr 28, 9:28 PMJan 1, 10:27 PM

9.16%chance

3935254

OptionVotes

YES

NO

31485

3176

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Jul 22, 2:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.2%chance

17132633

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14073

7523

Will a Jony Ive and Sam Altman collaboration lead to a hardware device intended for consumer use, released before 2030.

Sep 28, 1:58 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

73.01%chance

285333

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1356

824

The first fully autonomous vehicle will be sold to consumers in 2026 — but it won’t be from Tesla

Jan 2, 7:44 AMJan 10, 7:59 AM

16.44%chance

72785

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2258

444

At any point of time in 2027 a single consumer-grade GPU hits a MSRP of $20,000 USD

Jan 2, 7:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.79%chance

162171

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1655

606

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Mar 24, 5:16 PMDec 31, 12:00 PM

52.02%chance

231487

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1232

698

Will LoveFrom + OpenAI ship a consumer product before 2030

Apr 2, 2:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

63.85%chance

111142

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1329

752

Will consumer electricity be too cheap to meter by 2100?

Feb 23, 2:49 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

27.69%chance

17941

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

791

Will a novel computing medium enter consumer electronics by EYO 2030?

Dec 16, 7:15 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

40.61%chance

25910

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1186

842

Will Neuralink or similar tech be covered by a mainstream consumer available USA insurance plan by the end of 2035?

Mar 21, 4:35 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

17.87%chance

22710

OptionVotes

YES

NO

977

966

Will we see analog accelerators in consumer hardware by the end of 2026?

Nov 15, 3:40 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

11.93%chance

14609

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1350

926

Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?

Nov 4, 2:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

9462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

1087

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