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Prediction markets for Consumer Group

Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?

Apr 28, 4:20 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

26.43%chance

1518900

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1669

599

Will a neurotech company face a lawsuit over unauthorized brain data collection in 2025?

Mar 8, 11:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

15.98%chance

91411

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2293

436

Will fewer than 10% of 18-24 year olds choose to eat meat by 2100?

Aug 8, 1:54 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.5%chance

15628

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1177

900

IRAdvocates v. Apple resolved by EOY 2028?

Nov 29, 12:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.15%chance

9482

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1367

731

Will I get into a "top" university for CS in US?

May 19, 5:30 AMMay 2, 5:12 AM

8477

OptionProbability

Yes

No

79

21

What will be the second cell cultured meat species to be approved by the USDA

Aug 5, 3:07 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

7399

OptionProbability

Pork

Seafood

Beef

Lamb

Duck

Other

62

17

16

2

2

2

Am I Autistic?

Dec 13, 6:09 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

45%chance

21274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

204

166

Will Facebook users with de-personalized ads have better consumer outcomes?

Feb 24, 8:07 PMMar 4, 7:59 AM

45.93%chance

475

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

92

Will the EU Digital Fairness Act be formally adopted (published in the Official Journal of the EU) by December 31, 2028?

Oct 14, 11:21 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

[don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming?

Aug 10, 3:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.08%chance

637

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

127

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