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Prediction markets for Consumer Group

Will there be more than 100K AI successionists globally by Nov 7, 2028?

Apr 28, 4:20 AMNov 7, 11:59 PM

26.43%chance

1518900

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1669

599

Will US inflation be 3% or more in 2026?

Dec 13, 3:14 PMJan 12, 11:59 PM

38.39%chance

947396

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

790

Total number of alcohol beverages consumed on the Round Table boys trip to Nashville in March 2026

Jan 14, 5:45 PMJan 15, 4:59 AM

61759

OptionProbability

Above 50

Above 100

Above 150

Above 200

Above 250

Above 400

Above 300

Above 350

99

99

99

99

82

47

36

12

IRAdvocates v. Apple resolved by EOY 2028?

Nov 29, 12:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.1%chance

121333

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1738

576

Will fewer than 10% of 18-24 year olds choose to eat meat by 2100?

Aug 8, 1:54 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

22.39%chance

16948

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1497

789

Will I get into a "top" university for CS in US?

May 19, 5:30 AMMay 2, 5:12 AM

11652

OptionProbability

Yes

No

82

18

What will be the second cell cultured meat species to be approved by the USDA

Aug 5, 3:07 AMDec 30, 11:59 PM

7399

OptionProbability

Pork

Seafood

Beef

Lamb

Duck

Other

62

17

16

2

2

2

Am I Autistic?

Dec 13, 6:09 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

45%chance

21274

OptionVotes

NO

YES

204

166

Will Facebook users with de-personalized ads have better consumer outcomes?

Feb 24, 8:07 PMMar 4, 7:59 AM

45.93%chance

5175

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

92

Will the EU Digital Fairness Act be formally adopted (published in the Official Journal of the EU) by December 31, 2028?

Oct 14, 11:21 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM

36%chance

270

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

75

[don't bet yet, finalizing details] Will a Musk Company or Elon do large geoengineering projects for global warming?

Aug 10, 3:52 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.08%chance

637

OptionVotes

YES

NO

133

127

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