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Top stories

MSNBC to Become MS NOW, Drop Peacock Logo in Comcast Spinoff

Authors

129

1 year ago

Prediction markets for Consumer News

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Jul 22, 2:36 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.2%chance

17132633

OptionVotes

NO

YES

14073

7523

AI bubble pops in 2026?

Nov 10, 12:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.06%chance

8213590

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5293

2022

Will Russia experience widespread queues for basic goods in at least 3 major cities in 2025 or 2026?

Jul 13, 8:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

19.22%chance

3410025

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2050

488

7. Sam Altman will step aside as CEO of OpenAI.

Dec 28, 11:31 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

4.9%chance

316987

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4412

227

What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI collaboration first release? [Suggest options]

May 22, 7:01 AMDec 31, 7:56 AM

425357

OptionProbability

Smart speaker (Amazon Echo-style)

Pen

Earbuds

Other

AR/VR Goggles

Phone

Watch

Wearable badge

94

4

1

1

0

0

0

0

Will a Jony Ive and Sam Altman collaboration lead to a hardware device intended for consumer use, released before 2030.

Sep 28, 1:58 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

73.01%chance

285333

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1356

824

Aliens kill at least one human before 2035

Jul 22, 6:14 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

7.55%chance

261538

OptionVotes

NO

YES

980

831

Will Brazil implement a four-day work week before 2030?

Oct 12, 3:59 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM

5.57%chance

10577

OptionVotes

YES

NO

700

85

Will September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?

Jun 22, 12:04 AMOct 14, 12:29 PM

74.57%chance

5331

OptionVotes

NO

YES

166

64

Now Amazon buys CEC Entertainment on 2031

Feb 10, 2:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.95%chance

5157

OptionVotes

NO

YES

106

94

Will a consumer AI meaningfully hack something to answer a question for a regular user by eoy 2027?

Aug 1, 4:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

70.76%chance

173

OptionVotes

NO

YES

119

91

Will Model Intelligence diverge from consumer market share?

Apr 14, 12:44 AMApr 14, 12:30 AM

665

OptionProbability

Yes

N/A (unclear)

No

60

23

17

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