Consumer News News
Prediction markets for Consumer News
Will a Jony Ive and Sam Altman collaboration lead to a hardware device intended for consumer use, released before 2030.
Sep 28, 1:58 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
86.58%chance
275033
OptionVotes
2328
593
Will Russia experience widespread queues for basic goods in at least 3 major cities in 2025 or 2026?
Jul 13, 8:24 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
14.6%chance
184015
OptionVotes
2418
414
What kind of device will the Johnny Ive OpenAI first release? [Suggest options]
May 22, 7:01 AMDec 31, 7:56 AM
262437
OptionProbability
60
22
7
6
3
2
1
Will cultured meat be affordably available in Canada before the end of 2025?
Jan 1, 8:08 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM
8.48%chance
122285
OptionVotes
3285
304
OptionProbability
79
73
67
65
65
59
50
50
45
45
35
OptionVotes
573
17
Will Brazil implement a four-day work week before 2030?
Oct 12, 3:59 PMJan 1, 3:59 AM
5.57%chance
10577
OptionVotes
700
85
OptionVotes
350
29
Will trump somehow be president for more than 8 years?
Jul 1, 5:27 AMJan 20, 11:59 AM
10.05%chance
7467
OptionVotes
299
33
What major event will precipitate the next run on toilet paper in the United States?
Jul 17, 12:14 AMJul 17, 12:13 AM
5100
OptionProbability
19
7
7
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
OptionVotes
149
67
OptionProbability
44
23
23
10