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Prediction markets for Consumer Price Index

Will the United States' inflation rate be above 3% in 2023, 2024, and 2025?

Dec 10, 2:47 AMJan 1, 6:00 AM

2.61%chance

4847525

OptionVotes

YES

NO

5227

652

Will US inflation go above 3% before unemployment goes below 4%?

Oct 4, 2:45 PMSep 5, 9:59 AM

86.13%chance

556826

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2492

401

Will the 12-month percentage change in the US Consumer Price Index be lower in Nov. 2025 than it was in Nov. 2024

Jan 22, 9:02 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

38.88%chance

86079

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13368

7042

Will the validity of the Consumer Price Index as a measure of inflation be widely questioned during 2025? #Economics

Jan 22, 7:58 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

67.35%chance

734933

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1467

726

Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?

Feb 21, 1:25 AMNov 7, 4:59 AM

28%chance

302988

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1060

956

Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% before it reaches 0%?

Feb 19, 2:10 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75.13%chance

522145

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1400

798

If passed, will SB 1047 cover any Open Source model before 2029, not including those of Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc?

Aug 29, 2:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.35%chance

61165

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1098

911

Dec 1 2023 to Nov 30 2026, will a UK strike price of £65 (2012 prices) for offshore wind save consumers money?

Nov 4, 2:28 PMNov 30, 11:59 PM

44.54%chance

9462

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1275

1087

Will the 12-month inflation rate announced in January 2026 be lower or equal than 3.0%

Nov 15, 11:55 AMFeb 1, 4:59 AM

40.58%chance

4310

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1210

826

What will China’s annual inflation rate for 2025 be?

Dec 19, 3:01 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

556

OptionProbability

Between 0% and 1%

Between 1% and 2%

Between 2% and 3%

3% or higher

Less than 0%

41

27

11

11

10

How will GiveWell's 2027 Program salary expenses compare to 2022's?

Dec 3, 7:34 PMJul 1, 2:59 AM

230

OptionProbability

More than 150% of 2022

90-110% of 2022

Less than 50% of 2022

70-90% of 2022

110-130% of 2022

130-150% of 2022

50-70% of 2022

21

20

12

12

12

12

11

Will the CPI (less food and energy) be above 373.03 on Sept 2027?

Nov 11, 4:03 AMOct 10, 6:59 AM

50%chance

00

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

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