Continental News
Top stories
Prediction markets for Continental
What's a common idea/opinion/concept that you think is overrated?
Oct 24, 8:44 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM
9910725
OptionProbability
91
88
87
87
85
84
82
81
80
79
78
78
76
75
75
75
74
74
73
73
72
71
70
70
70
65
65
65
64
63
62
61
61
59
56
55
52
51
50
50
49
49
48
48
47
47
46
45
45
43
42
41
41
41
40
40
37
36
35
34
34
32
30
30
28
28
27
27
26
25
23
23
22
22
21
20
15
Will real money prediction markets be legal in the US before 2028?
Mar 6, 9:06 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM
59.97%chance
808792
OptionVotes
1176
716
OpenAI sells/rents AI compute to external customers by end-2026?
Nov 7, 7:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
10.72%chance
192798
OptionVotes
2886
346
Will level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?
Jan 4, 7:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
48.78%chance
131089
OptionVotes
1026
977
Bird flu H5N1 outbreak in Australia in 2025 or 2026?
Oct 25, 3:56 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM
20.98%chance
61049
OptionVotes
1940
515
Public coup attempt against a South American government?
May 6, 2:12 PMMay 6, 2:10 PM
22.51%chance
11625
OptionVotes
186
54
OptionProbability
35
26
21
19
Conditional on a large-scale nuclear exchange involving the continental United States, will my house be hit with an EMP severe enough to damage any of our electronics?
Oct 6, 5:35 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM
14.41%chance
10347
OptionVotes
512
114
Will India join Russia + China + Iran alliance? (2026 media)
Jan 1, 2:38 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
9.75%chance
10281
OptionVotes
304
33
Will the FIFA Club World Cup be expanded to 48 participants for its 2029 edition?
Jul 7, 10:04 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
24.6%chance
498
OptionVotes
175
57
OptionVotes
197
51
Special ecclesial assembly approved by Francis held in October 2028?
Nov 16, 7:44 AMOct 31, 11:59 PM
50%chance
00
OptionVotes
1000
1000