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Prediction markets for Contrary

EIA projection for US BEV market share in 2026?

Aug 13, 6:16 PMMar 1, 11:59 PM

9131287

OptionProbability

9 - 10.59%

10.6 - 12.89%

7.0 - 8.99%

0 - 6.99%

12.9 - 100%

31

25

24

11

9

EIA projection for U.S. HEV market share in 2026?

Aug 13, 7:10 PMFeb 1, 11:59 PM

584484

OptionProbability

11.8 - 13.74 %

10 - 11.79 %

13.75 - 16 %

8 - 9.99 %

Other

5 - 7.99 %

38

22

17

11

9

3

Will the effective altruism movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

Oct 21, 3:29 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

65.49%chance

13211307

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2132

1976

EIA Projection for U.S. ICE market share in 2026?

Aug 13, 7:23 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

29220

OptionProbability

75.8 - 77.79 %

74 - 75.79 %

71 - 73.99 %

77.8 - 79.99 %

Other

80 - 82.99 %

29

27

15

14

10

5

EIA projection for U.S. PHEV market share in 2026?

Aug 13, 6:41 PMMar 2, 4:59 AM

25150

OptionProbability

2.00 - 2.49%

1.5 - 1.99%

0 - 1.49%

2.5 - 3.19%

3.2 - 100%

39

24

15

15

7

Will the animal rights movement be more popular at close (2027) than as of market creation (2022)?

Oct 21, 5:26 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

75.54%chance

713494

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1402

1054

Did Donald Trump have sex with a minor (underage)? (Sworn court testimony or similar, by 2028-01-01.)

Jul 25, 1:00 AMJan 3, 11:59 PM

16.8%chance

382990

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

574

Barron Trump gets a Girlfriend (or SO) by 2027

Mar 20, 6:04 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

56.31%chance

181300

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1135

881

Is the cognitive core hypothesis true? Will it be clear next year?

Dec 7, 7:06 PMDec 8, 6:39 PM

35.99%chance

51155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4002

2249

If elected, will President Trump succeed in jailing his opponents?

Oct 27, 7:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

38.35%chance

21889

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1268

789

Kai Trump gets a Boyfriend (or SO) by 2027

Mar 20, 6:05 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

53.19%chance

5556

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1066

938

By 2030, will any Democratic administration succeed in jailing their opponents?

Nov 8, 12:49 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

39.5%chance

3458

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1238

808

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