Convergence AI News
Prediction markets for Convergence AI
Will tailcalled think that the Natural Abstractions alignment research program has achieved something important by October 20th, 2026?
Oct 20, 12:55 PMOct 20, 9:59 PM
17.43%chance
307834
OptionVotes
2079
497
OptionVotes
2710
623
OptionVotes
1896
811
Will neurotechnology enable AI to predict and classify human decisions, along with their influencing factors, by 2030?
May 18, 8:53 PMJan 3, 12:59 PM
59.29%chance
303064
OptionVotes
1075
815
[OpenAI Startup Fund] Which ideas will OpenAI invest in as part of Converge Two?
Dec 16, 11:47 AMJun 30, 9:59 PM
271223
OptionProbability
94
81
78
66
54
36
33
31
Will Russia announce completion of an AI data center with >10,000 AI accelerators (GPUs/TPUs) before 2027?
Oct 29, 1:31 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM
35.15%chance
3500
OptionVotes
1358
736
What will be the established name for the phenomenon of AI-driven job loss?
Jun 1, 4:59 PMJan 1, 5:53 PM
8306
OptionProbability
40
28
24
4
2
2
What will be the established name for AI-fueled psychosis/acute mental illness/delusional behavior?
May 7, 8:59 PMJan 1, 9:15 PM
10245
OptionProbability
48
28
6
5
3
2
2
2
2
2