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Prediction markets for Conviction

Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2026?

Dec 9, 8:04 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8.69%chance

313130087

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3243

308

Elon Musk convicted of a felony before 2026

Oct 5, 11:50 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

7.44%chance

12022500

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4433

1370

Cluely founders convicted of crime before 2028?

May 28, 2:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31.45%chance

1111867

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1476

677

Will Ryan Wesley Routh be convicted for his apparent attempted assassination of Trump?

Sep 16, 1:01 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

84.66%chance

389269

OptionVotes

NO

YES

11084

3744

Will someone be convicted just for making AI porn in the US?

Mar 3, 10:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

49.42%chance

505177

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1203

645

Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027?

Jan 18, 2:16 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

76.05%chance

374178

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1782

561

Will a Hylion executive be convicted of fraud before 2030?

Jul 16, 2:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

40.36%chance

13970

OptionVotes

NO

YES

9979

9979

Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of terrorism?

Dec 21, 10:19 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

32.15%chance

231601

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1453

688

If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028)

Sep 2, 10:05 PMNov 6, 4:59 AM

40.86%chance

261464

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1113

784

Will Karmelo Anthony be convicted of first-degree murder for the killing of Austin Metcalf?

Apr 18, 11:18 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

69.37%chance

131293

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1505

664

Will an AI be convicted of a crime in a US court by 2050?

Apr 5, 1:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

24.8%chance

17359

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1135

926

Will anyone associated with Helion be convicted of defrauding Helion investors by 2043?

May 16, 11:19 PMMay 18, 6:59 AM

15.14%chance

11234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1139

954

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