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Prediction markets for Conviction

Will Karmelo Anthony be convicted of first-degree murder for the killing of Austin Metcalf?

Apr 18, 11:18 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

94.79%chance

3629784

OptionVotes

NO

YES

4265

234

Cluely founders convicted of crime before 2028?

May 28, 2:28 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

25%chance

1412601

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1732

577

Will a Hylion executive be convicted of fraud before 2030?

Jul 16, 2:48 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

19.46%chance

512592

OptionVotes

YES

NO

18447

6585

Will someone be convicted just for making AI porn in the US?

Mar 3, 10:19 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

82.24%chance

536069

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2054

232

D4vd convicted of crimes related to Celeste Rivas?

Sep 19, 6:25 PMDec 19, 7:18 PM

92.92%chance

183505

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2490

80

If Trump is convicted, will he be pardoned? (2028)

Sep 2, 10:05 PMNov 6, 4:59 AM

40.04%chance

261476

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1101

802

Will the Southern Poverty Law Center (SPLC) indictment result in a conviction?

May 4, 5:13 AMMay 4, 5:12 AM

39.04%chance

10752

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1250

800

Will any member of Trump's cabinet be convicted of a war crime by end 2040?

Dec 10, 2:13 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

13.58%chance

6672

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1449

911

Will an AI be convicted of a crime in a US court by 2050?

Apr 5, 1:59 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25%chance

19435

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1126

929

Will anyone associated with Helion be convicted of defrauding Helion investors by 2043?

May 16, 11:19 PMMay 18, 6:59 AM

15.14%chance

11234

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1139

954

Will Lindsay Clancy be convicted of murder of her 3 children?

Jul 31, 9:06 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

76.58%chance

5198

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1342

1267

Will Duterte be convicted by the ICC before 2030?

Dec 3, 3:37 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

44.23%chance

4143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1123

891

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