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Prediction markets for COOP

Will the Conservative and Reform parties merge or closely cooperate before the end of the next election?

Jul 11, 12:24 PMJan 18, 11:59 PM

52.71%chance

245995

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2063

1941

Will Roy Cooper run for and be elected Senator for North Carolina in 2026?

Feb 21, 5:15 PMNov 11, 4:59 AM

81.29%chance

125156

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2822

757

What fraction of identical twins cooperate in the prisoner's dilemma?

Oct 21, 1:47 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

79.98%chance

161313

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1208

921

Cooper Lutkenhaus hold 800m world record before 2030?

Aug 4, 4:57 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.75%chance

6837

OptionVotes

NO

YES

110

91

AI beats Portal 2 Cooperative mode with a human (or itself) by what date?

Jul 19, 6:17 PMDec 31, 6:10 PM

7771

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2029

2026

2030

2031

2032

2033

2034

2035 or later/never

2025

37

25

12

9

3

3

3

3

3

2

1

Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?

Feb 27, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

68.33%chance

23721

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1034

888

[Metaculus] Will US law continue to prohibit NASA cooperation with the Chinese government until 2030?

Oct 12, 10:13 PMFeb 1, 3:00 AM

92.63%chance

5238

OptionVotes

NO

YES

367

80

Will Roy Cooper win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election?

Jul 1, 12:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

79.57%chance

6105

OptionVotes

NO

YES

197

51

Cooper Lutkenhaus's step count in World Record 800m race if he breaks WR by 2030?

Aug 21, 8:02 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

196

OptionProbability

At least 350 steps

At least 355 steps

At least 360 steps

At least 365 steps

48

28

20

15

Will Saudi Arabia join the Shanghai Cooperation Organization by the end of 2030?

Jul 5, 2:50 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

53.53%chance

440

OptionVotes

YES

NO

92

87

Will the Columbae coop at Stanford survive into 2032?

Nov 9, 4:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.02%chance

220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

Suggest me some couch coop games to play with my partner. Bounty to the best games we haven’t played yet.

Mar 5, 11:09 PM

00

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