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Prediction markets for COOP

Will Roy Cooper run for and be elected Senator for North Carolina in 2026?

Feb 21, 5:15 PMNov 11, 4:59 AM

99%chance

2817808

OptionVotes

NO

YES

15164

179

Will the Conservative and Reform parties merge or closely cooperate before the end of the next election?

Jul 11, 12:24 PMJan 18, 11:59 PM

24.87%chance

287920

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3511

1108

Will OpenAI announce that they are cooperating with Deepmind, Anthropic, Meta or Google in order to mitigate race dynamics by 2027?

Feb 27, 5:52 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

54.03%chance

312454

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1229

575

Will the FY2027 NDAA enter law by February 1st 2027, and direct U.S.-Israel military cooperation in AI?

Jun 6, 9:46 PMJan 31, 11:59 PM

61.83%chance

112048

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1138

717

What fraction of identical twins cooperate in the prisoner's dilemma?

Oct 21, 1:47 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

79.98%chance

161313

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1208

921

Will Roy Cooper win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election?

Jul 1, 12:08 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

99%chance

17985

OptionVotes

NO

YES

995

10

[Metaculus] Will US law continue to prohibit NASA cooperation with the Chinese government until 2030?

Oct 12, 10:13 PMFeb 1, 3:00 AM

92.63%chance

5238

OptionVotes

NO

YES

367

80

Will Restore UK and Reform UK merge or closely cooperate before the end of the next election?

Aug 2, 6:08 PMAug 15, 11:59 PM

64%chance

6166

OptionVotes

NO

YES

133

75

Will the United Kingdom be a member of the World Artificial Intelligence Cooperation Organization before end of 2027?

Jul 23, 1:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

15.33%chance

5161

OptionVotes

YES

NO

235

43

What will be the first for-profit cooperation to join manifold?

Apr 4, 8:27 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

5115

OptionProbability

Other

Reddit

Twitter

Twitch

Meta

Google

Discord

90

4

2

2

1

1

0

Will the Columbae coop at Stanford survive into 2032?

Nov 9, 4:51 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.02%chance

220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

120

83

Suggest me some couch coop games to play with my partner. Bounty to the best games we haven’t played yet.

Mar 5, 11:09 PM

00

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