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Prediction markets for Core Scientific

How difficult will Anthropic say the AI alignment problem is?

Aug 8, 7:48 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

8170

OptionProbability

Intermediate scenario

No such statement before 2030

Optimistic scenario

Pessimistic scenario

65

21

11

4

Will there be a psychedelics + closed-loop TMS paper by EOY2028?

Nov 11, 11:36 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

56.48%chance

451

OptionVotes

NO

YES

114

88

Will scientists find >4.5 billion year old zircons?

Dec 9, 11:23 PMJan 1, 6:59 AM

32.04%chance

448

OptionVotes

YES

NO

104

78

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