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Prediction markets for Corporate

Will Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:45 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

65.51%chance

920209

OptionVotes

NO

YES

13783

7255

Will Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

76.87%chance

617475

OptionVotes

NO

YES

18229

5486

Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?

Jan 28, 10:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

39.48%chance

412512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

949

Major Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary becomes independent corporation before 2027

Oct 9, 1:04 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

5.63%chance

101087

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1541

900

Will Safra Catz (CEO of Oracle Corporation) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?

Apr 8, 11:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

20.09%chance

9828

OptionVotes

YES

NO

134

89

Will at least 10 for-profit corporations create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 31, 7:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

59.51%chance

31805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1018

957

Will AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?

Feb 12, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.8%chance

7407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

822

From which countries will the 5 most performant quantum computer corporates in 2028 have originated?

Aug 30, 4:21 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

4349

OptionProbability

USA

China

United Kingdom

France

Switzerland

Germany

Canada

Japan

Austria

Australia

Spain

Russia

99

93

69

57

41

31

29

26

20

20

6

4

Will corporal punishment of children be outlawed in England by 2029?

May 19, 2:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.97%chance

12236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

165

61

Now Sony buys Fox Corporation in 2033 in networks

Feb 10, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.24%chance

6118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

137

73

Intel Corporation (INTC)

Apr 6, 1:24 AMApr 6, 3:59 AM

225

OptionProbability

NO

YES

55

45

Will Sabre Corporation (SABR) file for bankruptcy before the end of 2028?

Feb 2, 2:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.69%chance

418

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

97

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