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Prediction markets for Corporate

Will Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2027 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:45 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

35.26%chance

33550

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13550

7380

Will Anthropic have a major conflict involving its unique corporate structure similar to OpenAI before 2030?

Jan 28, 10:46 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

39.48%chance

412512

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1014

949

Major Berkshire Hathaway subsidiary becomes independent corporation before 2027

Oct 9, 1:04 PMDec 31, 4:01 PM

5.63%chance

101087

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1541

900

Will at least 10 for-profit corporations create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Jan 31, 7:05 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

62.58%chance

30755

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1035

968

Will Alcoa Corporation's primary aluminum production for calendar year 2028 exceed 2.6 million tonnes?

May 4, 5:53 PMMay 31, 11:59 PM

47.33%chance

3551

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10549

9480

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT)

Apr 6, 1:16 AMApr 6, 3:59 AM

10498

OptionProbability

YES

NO

159

121

Will AI impersonation on social media cause a minimum of $50M+ in reported US corporate losses in 2026?

Feb 12, 12:05 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

75.8%chance

7407

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1050

822

Will corporal punishment of children be outlawed in England by 2029?

May 19, 2:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

26.97%chance

12236

OptionVotes

YES

NO

165

61

When will a notable American politician or corporate executive be assassinated by a cheap non state drone within the US?

Feb 19, 12:24 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

21.77%chance

8235

OptionVotes

YES

NO

251

127

Will Bricks and Minifigs corporate declare bankruptcy in the USA by the end of 2029?

May 27, 3:48 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

31%chance

9170

OptionVotes

YES

NO

149

67

Now Sony buys Fox Corporation in 2033 in networks

Feb 10, 3:00 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

65.24%chance

6118

OptionVotes

NO

YES

137

73

Will Sabre Corporation (SABR) file for bankruptcy before the end of 2028?

Feb 2, 2:27 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

63.69%chance

418

OptionVotes

NO

YES

128

97

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