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Prediction markets for Corporate Communications
Prediction markets for Corporate Communications
Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos?
Apr 11, 11:35 PM
Dec 31, 11:30 PM
41.02%
chance
17
1901
Option
Votes
NO
YES
1156
712
📻 Defunding of public broadcasting causes over 100 radio station closures?
May 20, 2:40 PM
Dec 31, 3:37 PM
28.66%
chance
8
278
Option
Votes
YES
NO
158
63
OpenAI's for-profit pivot intentionally designed to provoke AGI governance debate before AGI?
May 8, 6:48 PM
Dec 31, 6:47 PM
10.31%
chance
6
195
Option
Votes
YES
NO
295
34
Will any China-domestic AI chip reach ≥80% of NVIDIA H100 perf on a public benchmark before 2026-12-31?
May 4, 8:22 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
13.93%
chance
2
101
Option
Votes
YES
NO
198
75
Will combined 2026 AI capex from {AWS, Azure, GCP, Meta, Oracle} exceed $300B?
May 4, 8:22 PM
Feb 28, 11:59 PM
82.65%
chance
1
100
Option
Votes
NO
YES
200
63
Will US datacenter electricity demand exceed 6% of total US electricity by year-end 2026?
May 6, 10:13 AM
Mar 31, 11:59 PM
33.6%
chance
2
21
Option
Votes
YES
NO
118
90
Will HBM3e supply exit shortage status before 2026-12-31?
May 4, 8:22 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
35.65%
chance
1
1
Option
Votes
NO
YES
101
98
Will AMD MI300+ series ship ≥$10B in revenue in calendar year 2026?
May 4, 8:22 PM
Feb 28, 11:59 PM
45.55%
chance
1
1
Option
Votes
NO
YES
101
99
Will any single datacenter PPA ≥1GW be announced by a hyperscaler before 2026-12-31?
May 4, 8:22 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
65.35%
chance
1
1
Option
Votes
NO
YES
101
99
Will any sovereign-AI deal ≥$10B be announced before 2026-12-31?
May 4, 8:22 PM
Dec 31, 11:59 PM
69.3%
chance
1
1
Option
Votes
YES
NO
101
98
Will combined CoreWeave+Lambda+Crusoe 2026 revenue exceed $10B?
May 4, 8:22 PM
Feb 28, 11:59 PM
55%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
Will NVIDIA share of AI accelerator revenue (calendar 2026 H2) exceed 80%?
May 4, 8:22 PM
Feb 28, 11:59 PM
70%
chance
0
0
Option
Votes
NO
YES
100
100
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