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Prediction markets for Corporate Development

Will "Mythos-class" model be called Mythos?

Apr 11, 11:35 PMDec 31, 2:59 PM

15.27%chance

4229826

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1834

771

10. Brain-computer interfaces transition to mainstream technology, Neuralink position in lead shakier [See full title!]

Dec 28, 11:39 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

45.89%chance

253805

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1088

922

Will a non-Chromium based web browser be the most popular browser by the end of 2028?

Oct 11, 5:59 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

7.09%chance

143184

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3619

276

Will Alcoa announce Final Investment Decision for Wagerup gallium by June 30, 2026?

Jan 12, 5:35 PMJun 29, 11:59 PM

22.42%chance

152155

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1861

538

Will Claude Sonnet 5 be released before June 28?

Jun 22, 9:36 PMJun 27, 11:59 PM

27%chance

241482

OptionVotes

YES

NO

164

61

Will a data centre hosting AI be physically attacked before December 31, 2029?

Sep 29, 7:48 AMDec 31, 3:59 PM

46.61%chance

211358

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1266

436

Will TSLA reach $900 before 2028

Feb 9, 5:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

41.63%chance

15930

OptionVotes

YES

NO

118

84

Wagerup gallium plant produces first metal by December 31, 2026

Jan 12, 5:41 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

30.8%chance

9877

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1499

667

Will Neuralink release a mass market commercial neural implant by 2030?

Jan 10, 1:12 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

23.73%chance

19709

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1085

961

Will the US recognize AI property rights under federal law before 2040?

Nov 25, 9:20 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

37.54%chance

5431

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1290

775

📻 Defunding of public broadcasting causes over 100 radio station closures?

May 20, 2:40 PMDec 31, 3:37 PM

28.66%chance

8278

OptionVotes

YES

NO

158

63

Will US entities' control over Congolese cobalt resources exceed 40 on a scale of 1-100 by August 11, 2026?

Feb 12, 12:01 AMAug 11, 12:01 AM

46.02%chance

2120

OptionVotes

YES

NO

108

92

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