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Prediction markets for Corps
OptionProbability
44
15
14
14
6
5
1
Will the post-April 2026 frontier models be private models / sold to corps [ThePrimeagen prediction]
Feb 2, 10:32 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
6.63%chance
81641
OptionVotes
1015
753
OptionVotes
1089
956
OptionProbability
342
229
OptionProbability
306
261
Will a United States Cyber Force or Cyber Corp stand up before February 1, 2029?
Feb 2, 2:17 AMFeb 2, 5:59 AM
54.66%chance
8195
OptionVotes
197
163
OptionProbability
234
192
Will La Croix sparkling water still be owned by National Beverage Corp at the end of 2028?
Apr 30, 8:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM
54%chance
3118
OptionVotes
108
92
Will NVDA own >1% of OpenAI's Public Benefit Corp at EOY 2026?
Sep 23, 9:30 PMDec 31, 10:29 PM
69.63%chance
4102
OptionVotes
151
66
Will MSFT own >3% of OpenAI's Public Benefit Corp at EOY 2026?
Sep 23, 9:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM
66.51%chance
877
OptionVotes
141
71
Will San Francisco Nov 2026 Prop B (municipal finance corp & public bank) pass?
Nov 4, 8:38 PMDec 3, 11:59 PM
56.94%chance
217
OptionVotes
115
87
Will Science Corp shutdown or be acquired for less than $160m USD before 2034.
Sep 2, 9:14 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM
57.37%chance
18
OptionVotes
78
63