Cosm News

How will the Hubble Tension ("crisis in cosmology") be resolved?

Mar 3, 7:43 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

504345

OptionProbability

Current Cosmic Ladder estimates are wrong

Current Cosmic Microwave Background estimates are wrong

Both are wrong

Will the Timescape theory seduce cosmologists?

Jan 15, 3:23 PMJan 22, 10:59 PM

22.04%chance

142291

OptionVotes

YES

1881

532

In the Crisis in Cosmology, the CMBR answer is closer to correct than the supernovae results

Oct 27, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.12%chance

151633

OptionVotes

YES

1045

982

In 50 years, what will most cosmologists believe the age of the Universe is?

Aug 20, 9:02 PMAug 21, 3:59 AM

111104

OptionProbability

13.787 ± 1 Gy

Infinite (Big Bounce)

Between 12.5 and 13 billion years

Other

resolves no

Will there be at least one open CosMc in the USA at the end of 2029?

May 27, 2:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.02%chance

4925

OptionVotes

YES

984

Will there be at least one open CosMc in the USA at the end of 2027?

May 27, 2:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.04%chance

2914

OptionVotes

YES

976

Will there be at least one open CosMc in the USA at the end of 2028?

May 27, 2:25 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.04%chance

2914

OptionVotes

YES

976

Will a major cosmological simulation be AI-accelerated by the end of 2027?

Oct 12, 1:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

52.67%chance

28878

OptionVotes

YES

1235

577

Will we discover evidence of a cosmic string before 2050?

Dec 7, 1:35 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

8.27%chance

8272

OptionVotes

YES

444

135

Would over 20% of global fashion revenue come from virtual cosmetics by 2030?

Jun 29, 10:38 PMJan 7, 5:59 AM

43.13%chance

3150

OptionVotes

YES

1148

871

What is true about cosmic inflation?

Sep 18, 11:51 PMOct 8, 11:59 PM

5139

OptionProbability

The eternal inflation + multiverse scenario applies to our universe.

Starobinsky (R^2) inflation took place in our universe.

Bouncing/cyclic universe scenario is correct and inflation is false.

Cosmic inflation did not take place in our universe.

Chaotic inflation took place in our universe.

Single-field inflation will be ruled out; only multi-field inflation fits the data.

When given the choice, will humans voluntarily give up a large fraction of our cosmic endowment to AI beings?

May 24, 9:51 PMMay 24, 9:50 PM

32.45%chance

444

OptionVotes

YES

144

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How will the Hubble Tension ("crisis in cosmology") be resolved?

Will the Timescape theory seduce cosmologists?

In the Crisis in Cosmology, the CMBR answer is closer to correct than the supernovae results

In 50 years, what will most cosmologists believe the age of the Universe is?

Will there be at least one open CosMc in the USA at the end of 2029?

Will there be at least one open CosMc in the USA at the end of 2027?

Will there be at least one open CosMc in the USA at the end of 2028?

Will a major cosmological simulation be AI-accelerated by the end of 2027?

Will we discover evidence of a cosmic string before 2050?

Would over 20% of global fashion revenue come from virtual cosmetics by 2030?

What is true about cosmic inflation?

When given the choice, will humans voluntarily give up a large fraction of our cosmic endowment to AI beings?

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