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Council of the Americas News

    Prediction markets for Council of the Americas

    OptionProbability

    Eunisses Hernandez (incumbent)

    Lou Calanche

    Sylvia Robledo

    Nelson Grande

    Raul Claros

    Elaine Alaniz

    Jesus Jesse Rosas

    Jesse Rojas

    Joseph Lucey

    Rosa Requeno

    Annalee Harr

    Other

    58

    12

    9

    9

    7

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    1

    If Trump wins, will the US homicide rate decrease?

    Mar 10, 5:05 PMNov 3, 7:59 AM
    63%chance
    251102

    OptionVotes

    NO

    YES

    1081

    943

    OptionProbability

    Have been born after the first plane was hijacked on 9/11

    Be a President or other kind of non-royal, non-coup Head of State

    Be a man (cis or trans)

    Take office on or before 2034-03-29 (ten years from market creation)

    Be a Prime Minister, meaning a head of government, not head of state, most often elected by the legislature

    Be considered broadly left-wing in their country

    Be a monarch or a monarch's representative/regent

    Have been married

    Have been in custody

    Rule a country that's in the bottom 10% by area

    Rule an African country

    Rule a country with same-sex marriage

    Rule a country that's not a UN member as of market creation

    Not rule by heredity, and be related to someone who is or was also a state leader during their lifetime

    Come to power as the result of a coup

    Be out as LGBTQIA+

    Have used a prediction market

    84

    70

    67

    57

    54

    54

    52

    50

    47

    43

    43

    38

    26

    25

    24

    21

    9

    OptionProbability

    Hugo Soto-Martinez (incumbent)

    Other

    Colter Carlisle

    55

    28

    18

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