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Prediction markets for Council of the EU

Will Kaliningrad achieve independence from Russia by the end of 2026?

Feb 4, 5:32 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

6.59%chance

488227

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1239

943

EU ends unanimous decision-making by EOY 2035?

Jul 14, 12:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

16.17%chance

101697

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2277

439

When will the EU adopt the Cyber Resilience Act?

Jul 13, 5:41 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

51170

OptionProbability

2024

2025

2026

Ongoing in 2027

Abandoned before 2027

2023

86

8

2

2

1

0

Will the European Union dissolve before or during 2030?

May 13, 2:30 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

1.95%chance

191132

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1608

914

Will Article 7 of the EU be employed against Hungary before 2027?

Jan 15, 11:28 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

26.71%chance

17714

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1163

924

EU Council approves Catalan as official language before October 10, 2025

Jul 12, 1:01 PMOct 9, 11:59 PM

42.34%chance

654

OptionVotes

YES

NO

117

86

Eunisses Hernandez reelected to Los Angeles City Council in 2026?

Mar 28, 2:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

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