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Top stories

UN’s Guterres Urges Security Council to Approve International Force for Haiti

UN’s Guterres Urges Security Council to Approve International Force for Haiti

Authors

4

3 months ago

Security Council Debates Final UNIFIL Extension Amid Israeli, Lebanese Split

US Foreign Policy

Security Council Debates Final UNIFIL Extension Amid Israeli, Lebanese Split

Authors

10

4 months ago

France, Germany and UK Trigger UN 'Snapback' to Restore Iran Sanctions

France, Germany and UK Trigger UN 'Snapback' to Restore Iran Sanctions

Authors

73

3 months ago

Prediction markets for Council

Which states have veto power in the UN Security Council in 2050?

Dec 14, 9:23 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

103649

OptionProbability

France

United States of America

People's Republic of China

Great Britain

Russia

Any East Asian or Southeast Asian state or intergovernmental organization (excluding China)

India

Brazil

European Union

Any arabic state or intergovernmental organization

Any african state or intergovernmental organization

97

95

95

95

92

25

23

15

11

10

9

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

5.69%chance

13678

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1442

942

There will be a change to the permanent members of the UN Security council before 2040

Dec 30, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:00 PM

51.24%chance

16594

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1130

852

A Sikh homeland of Khalistan is recognized by any UN security council member by end 2032

Sep 30, 8:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.67%chance

16509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1417

927

Masterton, Carterton, and South Wairarapa District Councils amalgamate before 2030?

Oct 20, 3:18 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

50%chance

1100

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1000

1000

Who will be the next head of the council of economic advisors?

Aug 8, 11:56 AMSep 30, 9:59 PM

466

OptionProbability

Other

Pierre Yared

Kim Ruhl

38

32

30

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 5

Apr 13, 3:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

220

OptionProbability

Katy Young Yaroslavsky (incumbent)

Other

Eddie Ha

47

30

23

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 7

Apr 2, 5:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

120

OptionProbability

Monica Rodriguez (incumbent)

Other

Tony Rodriguez

Michael Ebenkamp

39

24

20

16

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 13

Apr 13, 3:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Hugo Soto-Martinez (incumbent)

Other

Colter Carlisle

42

33

24

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 3

Apr 13, 3:53 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Other

Tim Gaspar

Barri Worth Girvan

Jon Rawlings

30

26

25

19

Eunisses Hernandez reelected to Los Angeles City Council in 2026?

Mar 28, 2:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 11

Apr 8, 3:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Traci Park (incumbent)

Other

Faizah Malik

39

39

22

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