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Top stories

EU Commission Targets 90% Emissions Cut by 2040, Allows Limited Offsets

EU Commission Targets 90% Emissions Cut by 2040, Allows Limited Offsets

Authors

75

1 month ago

Pakistan Assumes UN Security Council Presidency for July 2025, First Since 2013, Plans Kashmir-Focused Sessions

Pakistan Assumes UN Security Council Presidency for July 2025, First Since 2013, Plans Kashmir-Focused Sessions

Authors

23

1 month ago

Morena Creates Evaluating Commission for Affiliations Amid Support for Adán Augusto López Over Hernán Bermúdez Case and FGR Investigation

Morena Creates Evaluating Commission for Affiliations Amid Support for Adán Augusto López Over Hernán Bermúdez Case and FGR Investigation

Authors

8

13 days ago

Prediction markets for Council

Which states have veto power in the UN Security Council in 2050?

Dec 14, 9:23 AMDec 31, 10:59 PM

93527

OptionProbability

France

United States of America

People's Republic of China

Great Britain

Russia

Any East Asian or Southeast Asian state or intergovernmental organization (excluding China)

India

Brazil

Any arabic state or intergovernmental organization

European Union

Any african state or intergovernmental organization

97

95

95

95

92

25

22

19

13

12

10

There will be a change to the permanent members of the UN Security council before 2040

Dec 30, 7:25 PMJan 1, 7:00 PM

53.94%chance

15544

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1185

802

A Sikh homeland of Khalistan is recognized by any UN security council member by end 2032

Sep 30, 8:14 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.67%chance

16509

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1417

927

Will UN Security Council single state veto power be abolished?

Sep 19, 10:41 AMJan 1, 8:59 PM

10399

OptionProbability

Yes, before 2033

Yes, before 2030

Yes, before 2027

46

14

7

Will Russia be removed from the UN Security Council in the next 5 years?

Nov 5, 3:13 AMNov 12, 4:59 AM

7.22%chance

12378

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1142

963

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 5

Apr 13, 3:54 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

220

OptionProbability

Katy Young Yaroslavsky (incumbent)

Other

59

41

Katy Young Yaroslavsky reelected to Los Angeles City Council in 2026?

Mar 28, 2:55 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

56.94%chance

215

OptionVotes

NO

YES

115

87

Who will win the 2025 Seattle City Council Position 2 election?

Jul 28, 7:05 AMNov 30, 11:59 PM

110

OptionProbability

Eddie Lin

Jeanie Chunn

Adonis Ducksworth

Other

40

20

20

20

Eunisses Hernandez reelected to Los Angeles City Council in 2026?

Mar 28, 2:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.44%chance

15

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 1

Apr 13, 3:51 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

05

OptionProbability

Eunisses Hernandez (incumbent)

Other

Raul Claros

41

35

24

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 13

Apr 13, 3:42 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Hugo Soto-Martinez (incumbent)

Other

50

50

Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council election for district 11

Apr 8, 3:53 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

00

OptionProbability

Traci Park (incumbent)

Other

50

50

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