Court of Appeals News

YES

YES

YES

NO

At least 3 current or former Fed Govs issue public statements defending Cook or Fed independence before 2026

Trump announces a nominee for Cook's seat before 2026

A court issues a temporary injunction preventing Cook’s removal before 2026

A Supreme Court ruling (regular or shadow docket) has at least 3 dissents

Cook remains in her position as of the September rate-setting meeting

Trump will make up a nickname for Cook (announced via post or interview)

Cook gives a published interview (3 questions or more) before 2026

A higher court reverses a lower court (appeal, tro, etc)

Supreme Court hears arguments or makes ruling on the incident before 2026

Supreme Court ruling on the shadow docket

A plaintiff sues the Fed, asking court to enforce Cook's firing

Cook's replacement votes when regional Fed Presidents' terms are up for renewal (Feb 2026)

Senate Committee holds a hearing for nominee to Cook’s seat before 2026

Yields on 10-year US Treasuries surpass 4.600% anytime before 10/1/25

Trump threatens to fire Powell "for cause" since he didn't remove Cook

Cook is indicted for a felony related to her mortgages before litigation about her firing is completed

A sitting GOP Senator criticizes the firing (more than just concerns)

Cook is barred from at least 1 FOMC meeting, AND her firing is ultimately deemed illegal

Trump actually attempts to fire Powell before Cook firing litigation is complete

Initiation and Investigation: A member or committee of the House of Representatives begins impeachment proceedings. The House Judiciary Committee investigates the allegations of misconduct

Charges: If the committee finds sufficient evidence, it acts as a prosecutor and brings charges against the judge.

The U.S. Court of Appeals or the Supreme Court overturns Judge Engelmayer's ruling to block Executive cabinet and staffers from accessing U.S. Treasury records, and no impeachment proceedings are initiated by May 9, 2025.

House Votes YES to Impeach: The entire House of Representatives votes on the impeachment. A simple majority is required to impeach the judge.

YES

NO

YES

YES

Lawsuit is settled out of court

Lawsuit over before 2029

Midjourney implements content filters to prevent copyright infringement²

Lawsuit over before 2028

Midjorney pays Disney and/or Universal⁴

Midjourney appeals the court's decision

Midjourney continues operations without changes at the end³

Lawsuit over before 2027

Midjourney no longer provides image generation by the end of it¹

YES