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Prediction markets for Court of International Trade

Will either the courts or congress significantly limit trumps ability to impose or negotiate tariffs by the end of 2025

Apr 7, 10:55 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

41%chance

18878426

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1223

869

Will Benjamin Netanyahu ever be arrested, detained or face trial for war crimes?

May 20, 5:59 PMDec 16, 11:59 PM

10.74%chance

10817864

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2882

347

Supreme Court upholds unconstitutionality of broad tariffs?

May 29, 12:35 AMJan 1, 1:23 AM

75.57%chance

8416626

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1759

569

Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" found unlawful by courts and effectively ceased by EOY 2025?

Apr 6, 7:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

24.66%chance

459824

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1748

572

Trump's "reciprocal tariffs" found unlawful by courts and effectively ceased by EOY 2026?

Apr 21, 7:26 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.35%chance

225645

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1184

845

How will the SCOTUS rules on Trump's tariff policy

Oct 9, 12:38 PMDec 31, 1:33 PM

122244

OptionProbability

Partially Unconstitutional

Fully Unconstitutional

Fully Constitutional

49

38

13

Will the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?

Nov 14, 2:11 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

7.58%chance

232161

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2128

831

Frauke Brosius-Gersdorf appointed?

Jul 16, 5:58 AMDec 31, 1:00 AM

0.39%chance

51010

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1590

6

Will Donald Trump get more judges appointed in his second term than his first?

Nov 7, 2:42 AMJan 16, 7:59 AM

59.42%chance

5410

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1210

826

Will the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit issue an injunction halting the Liberation Day Tarrifs?

May 14, 2:40 AMMar 2, 3:34 AM

42.65%chance

13339

OptionVotes

YES

NO

120

90

Will any US federal judge be impeached in 2025?

Jul 12, 3:27 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

9.68%chance

6251

OptionVotes

YES

NO

305

33

US sanctions the entire International Criminal Court?

Sep 22, 7:37 PMDec 31, 8:30 PM

41.47%chance

321

OptionVotes

YES

NO

119

84

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