COVID News

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Sep 1, 3:51 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

27.22%chance

21424581558

OptionVotes

YES

18844

4643

Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?

Mar 31, 12:45 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

31.16%chance

9539667

OptionVotes

YES

1213

979

Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?

Oct 24, 3:48 AMDec 31, 2:59 PM

80.88%chance

4626053

OptionVotes

YES

4032

1971

Where did COVID-19 come from

Sep 17, 4:16 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

9514614

OptionProbability

Transfer at a wet market

Accidental transfer in a lab after research gain-of-function modifications

Accidental transfer in a lab with no modifications

Non-zoonotic origins

Transfer in the wild to a civilian

Transfer in the wild to a virus researcher

Planned deliberate release

Other

It does not exist / is not a new virus / 5G / aliens

Deliberate release by a rogue employee

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? (2050 Poll)

Mar 26, 12:55 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

39.39%chance

443590

OptionVotes

YES

1408

541

If the COVID lab leak market resolves NO, will it be controversial?

Jul 28, 4:54 AMJan 1, 5:59 AM

48.15%chance

252416

OptionVotes

YES

1134

616

Covid a lab leak?

Sep 24, 12:31 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

44.3%chance

312183

OptionVotes

YES

1156

853

In 2035, will there be a scientific consensus that at least 1000 Americans died as a direct result of the Covid vaccine?

Sep 16, 4:24 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

62.95%chance

391876

OptionVotes

YES

1339

719

Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?

Jan 11, 6:53 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

23.99%chance

311757

OptionVotes

YES

1092

945

If Covid is a lab leak, which lab did it leak from?

Dec 30, 11:24 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

221641

OptionProbability

Wuhan Institute of Virology, Wuchang campus

Wuhan Institute of Virology, Jiangxia campus

Wuhan CDC

UNC

Fort Detrick

Wuhan Institute of Biological Products

Wuhan University

Other

VECTOR lab in Russia

Canadian National Microbiology Lab in Winnipeg, Manitoba

Huazhong Agricultural University in Wuhan

Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?

Feb 29, 11:21 AMMar 1, 11:59 PM

63.21%chance

241238

OptionVotes

YES

1488

437

Scientists or influencers outside China have been paid by the CCP to advocate for a natural origin of Covid 19.

Oct 1, 11:05 PMOct 9, 3:59 AM

62.31%chance

13532

OptionVotes

YES

1286

778

COVID News

Prediction markets for COVID

Prediction markets for COVID

Prediction markets for COVID

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory?

Will my resolution of the COVID-19 lab leak market be controversial?

Will US life expectancy recover from its 2020-2021 "Covid" drop to exceed its 2019 level by 2029?

Where did COVID-19 come from

Did COVID-19 come from a laboratory? (2050 Poll)

If the COVID lab leak market resolves NO, will it be controversial?

Covid a lab leak?

In 2035, will there be a scientific consensus that at least 1000 Americans died as a direct result of the Covid vaccine?

Will a global pandemic of a novel infectious disease, similar to COVID-19, occur by 2030?

If Covid is a lab leak, which lab did it leak from?

Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?

Scientists or influencers outside China have been paid by the CCP to advocate for a natural origin of Covid 19.

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