CRAF News

Will irrefutable evidence emerge that the first non-human origin craft was first obtained in Italy in 1933?

Jun 11, 12:58 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

1.75%chance

254092

OptionVotes

YES

2595

897

Is Whistleblower David Charles Grusch Telling The Truth About Non-Human Craft Recoveries?

Jun 6, 1:12 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

8.73%chance

183089

OptionVotes

YES

1442

916

Will Space Force operate a crewed space craft by 2030?

Oct 19, 2:46 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

3.14%chance

6636

OptionVotes

YES

652

Will a multimodal LLM be able to generate instructions for origami crafts by 2030?

Aug 29, 12:48 PMSep 5, 9:59 PM

84.59%chance

7261

OptionVotes

YES

369

174

Will Space Force operate a crewed space craft by 2035?

Oct 19, 2:47 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

9.6%chance

6231

OptionVotes

YES

211

If/when humans send a mission to Alpha Centauri, will the subjective time experienced by the craft be more than 20 years?

Nov 11, 4:03 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

63.1%chance

9126

OptionVotes

YES

270

163

Will NASA intentionally "crash land" a craft on Mars before 2033?

Oct 24, 1:59 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

38.48%chance

9106

OptionVotes

YES

319

315

Will someone craft a microplastic/plastic to be shaped exactly like Jose Luis Ricon (JLR!!!!!!!!!)by EOY 2040?

Aug 23, 6:26 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

21.93%chance

2103

OptionVotes

YES

189

Magical Craft gets English-language release by end of 2026

Sep 16, 3:56 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

74.74%chance

372

OptionVotes

YES

172

Will Space Force operate a crewed space craft by 2040?

Oct 19, 2:50 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

57%chance

431

OptionVotes

YES

Exit valuation of Craftwork (YC S23)?

Sep 14, 6:39 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

130

OptionProbability

Less than $10M or bankrupt

$10M - $100M

$100M - $1B

$1B+

🏅2026 Craftsman Head-to-Head (H2H) Driver Markets (LIVE)

Feb 13, 12:40 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

115

OptionProbability

02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' (Ty Majeski) OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside' (Michael McDowell)?

02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' (Tanner Gray) OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside' (Carson Hocevar)?

02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside'?

02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 5 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 5 Outside'?

02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' (Kaden Honeycutt) OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside' (Jake Garcia)?

03/20 (Darlington) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?

03/20 (Darlington) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside'?

11/06 (Miami) - Will 'Row 1 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 1 Outside'?

02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 3 Inside' (Grant Enfinger) OUT FINISH 'Row 3 Outside' (Tyler Ankrum)?

02/13 (Daytona - Fresh From Florida 250) - Will 'Row 8 Inside' (Tony Stewart) OUT FINISH 'Row 8 Outside' (Justin Haley)?

03/20 (Darlington) - Will 'Row 2 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 2 Outside'?

03/20 (Darlington) - Will 'Row 4 Inside' OUT FINISH 'Row 4 Outside'?

100

CRAF News

Prediction markets for CRAF

Prediction markets for CRAF

Prediction markets for CRAF

Will irrefutable evidence emerge that the first non-human origin craft was first obtained in Italy in 1933?

Is Whistleblower David Charles Grusch Telling The Truth About Non-Human Craft Recoveries?

Will Space Force operate a crewed space craft by 2030?

Will a multimodal LLM be able to generate instructions for origami crafts by 2030?

Will Space Force operate a crewed space craft by 2035?

If/when humans send a mission to Alpha Centauri, will the subjective time experienced by the craft be more than 20 years?

Will NASA intentionally "crash land" a craft on Mars before 2033?

Will someone craft a microplastic/plastic to be shaped exactly like Jose Luis Ricon (JLR!!!!!!!!!)by EOY 2040?

Magical Craft gets English-language release by end of 2026

Will Space Force operate a crewed space craft by 2040?

Exit valuation of Craftwork (YC S23)?

🏅2026 Craftsman Head-to-Head (H2H) Driver Markets (LIVE)

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