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Top stories

Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act and 2025 Budget Rollback Threaten Medicaid for 650,000 in NC and Mental Health Services Including 988 LGBTQ+ Support

US Domestic Policy

Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act and 2025 Budget Rollback Threaten Medicaid for 650,000 in NC and Mental Health Services Including 988 LGBTQ+ Support

Authors

7

4 months ago

Prediction markets for Crisis

Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?

Jul 10, 8:22 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

73.95%chance

14846589

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1745

307

Will the 2024 US presidential election trigger a constitutional crisis?

Feb 21, 9:01 PMJan 1, 5:59 AM

0.99%chance

6522305

OptionVotes

YES

NO

10565

139

Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?

Nov 14, 3:48 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

76.69%chance

879641

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1775

1245

Will there be a banking crisis in the United States before the midterms?

Mar 4, 5:43 PMMay 5, 6:59 AM

33.35%chance

142287

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1414

707

Will any OECD country undergo a sovereign debt crisis by end of 2025?

Sep 29, 1:08 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

7.87%chance

142286

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1247

899

In the Crisis in Cosmology, the CMBR answer is closer to correct than the supernovae results

Oct 27, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.12%chance

151633

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1045

982

Is Russia accelerating the climate crisis?

Feb 27, 7:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

47.77%chance

121367

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1046

956

Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)

Mar 16, 2:27 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

45%chance

20876

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1022

967

Will a deepfake cause a real diplomatic crisis between two countries by the end of 2027?

Jul 28, 8:59 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

52.48%chance

11220

OptionVotes

NO

YES

105

95

If Javier Milei abolishes the Central Bank of Argentina, will it cause a recession or financial crisis?

Nov 24, 11:45 PMDec 31, 9:59 PM

36.89%chance

10136

OptionVotes

YES

NO

240

189

Will Nettspend surpass 2m monthly listeners in the week following the release of his upcoming album "Early Life Crisis"?

Jul 24, 1:51 AMDec 31, 12:43 AM

62.83%chance

252

OptionVotes

NO

YES

130

77

Will there be a cuban missile crisis level incident in the south china sea by end of 2027?

Dec 16, 8:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.08%chance

433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

90

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