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Crisis News

Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act and 2025 Budget Rollback Threaten Medicaid for 650,000 in NC and Mental Health Services Including 988 LGBTQ+ Support

US Domestic Policy

Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act and 2025 Budget Rollback Threaten Medicaid for 650,000 in NC and Mental Health Services Including 988 LGBTQ+ Support

7

1 year ago

Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?

Jul 10, 8:22 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

55%chance

15148508

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1318

538

Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?

Nov 14, 3:48 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

76.69%chance

879641

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1775

1245

What will the next world-wide crisis be?

Nov 18, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

497048

OptionProbability

Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)

Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons

An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task

Other (10m+ deaths)

Worldwide Pandemic

350+ million climate-displaced persons annually

US Treasury payment default or missed obligation

57

34

32

14

12

10

8

How will the Hubble Tension ("crisis in cosmology") be resolved?

Mar 3, 7:43 AMJan 2, 4:59 AM

534500

OptionProbability

Current Cosmic Ladder estimates are wrong

Current Cosmic Microwave Background estimates are wrong

Both are wrong

52

31

17

When will the US have a sovereign debt crisis?

Sep 29, 9:17 AMMay 7, 4:59 AM

162373

OptionProbability

2040 and later

2027

2029

2030-2039

2028

2026

2023

2024

2025

53

12

10

10

9

3

1

1

1

Will there be a massive global financial crisis, larger than any before seen in human history, before the end of 2028?

Jul 31, 10:54 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

8%chance

161737

OptionVotes

YES

NO

445

125

In the Crisis in Cosmology, the CMBR answer is closer to correct than the supernovae results

Oct 27, 2:34 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

50.12%chance

151633

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1045

982

Is Russia accelerating the climate crisis?

Feb 27, 7:48 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

45.45%chance

131417

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1096

913

Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)

Mar 16, 2:27 PMJan 1, 12:59 PM

61.29%chance

201226

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1313

717

In what year will the next great financial crisis in the US occur?

Mar 6, 6:15 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14946

OptionProbability

Other

2028

2030

2029

2027

2026

2024

2025

2022

2023

54

12

11

10

6

4

1

1

0

0

Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027

Jul 4, 6:28 AMJan 11, 7:59 AM

54.41%chance

15571

OptionVotes

NO

YES

109

92

Will there be a cuban missile crisis level incident in the south china sea by end of 2027?

Dec 16, 8:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.08%chance

433

OptionVotes

YES

NO

137

90

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