Crisis News

Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act and 2025 Budget Rollback Threaten Medicaid for 650,000 in NC and Mental Health Services Including 988 LGBTQ+ Support

7 months ago

Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?

Jul 10, 8:22 AMDec 31, 4:01 PM

69.11%chance

14946894

OptionVotes

YES

1612

360

Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?

Nov 14, 3:48 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

76.69%chance

879641

OptionVotes

YES

1775

1245

What will the next world-wide crisis be?

Nov 18, 2:28 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

486946

OptionProbability

Nothing Ever Happens (Nothing Happens)

Direct military engagement between either G20 members, or the use of nuclear weapons

An AI kills a human without explicitly being given a task

Other (10m+ deaths)

Worldwide Pandemic

350+ million climate-displaced persons annually

US Treasury payment default or missed obligation

What's causing the mental health crisis among young people of the 2010s-2020s?

Dec 28, 8:44 PMJan 2, 4:59 AM

746628

OptionProbability

Social Media

Increased awareness/willingness to diagnose

Phones

Mass Psychogenic Illness

Some form of intentional psychological manipulation (algorithmic manipulation, intentional group polarization, psychological warfare, etc.)

There actually is no mental health crisis, it just looks like there is one due to e.g. biased reporting

The postmodern condition becoming more widespread

Hearing about bad things going on (like Climate Change)

REM defficient sleep

Psychoactive drugs (prescribed or recreational)

Socioeconomic hardships

Urbanicity

Microplastics

Nanoplastics

Some sort of ingested/inhaled contaminant

cocaine dust particles passive intake

COVID vaccine side effect

Mar 29, 1:32 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.12%chance

9159

OptionVotes

YES

200

Will there be a cuban missile crisis level incident in the south china sea by end of 2027?

Dec 16, 8:56 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

38.08%chance

433

OptionVotes

YES

137

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Will the United States experience a constitutional crisis before 2030?

Will there be another EA reputational crisis before 2028?

What will the next world-wide crisis be?

What's causing the mental health crisis among young people of the 2010s-2020s?

How will the Hubble Tension ("crisis in cosmology") be resolved?

Will there be a banking crisis in the United States before the midterms?

Will there be a massive global financial crisis, larger than any before seen in human history, before the end of 2028?

In the Crisis in Cosmology, the CMBR answer is closer to correct than the supernovae results

Is Russia accelerating the climate crisis?

Will the Fertility Crisis be solved by Fertility Technology ( Artificial Wombs, Embryo Selection, Robot Nannies etc.)

Will New York City government have a 1975 style financial crisis, threat of bankruptcy, before the end of 2028?

Will there be a cuban missile crisis level incident in the south china sea by end of 2027?

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