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Prediction markets for CRO

Crocodile Stock

May 2, 7:39 PMMay 2, 9:59 PM

12880785

OptionProbability

NO

YES

2886

1727

Will at least one other person be found guilty in a court of law for involvement in Crooks' Trump assassination attempt?

Jul 18, 2:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.7%chance

1739662

OptionVotes

YES

NO

44399

7886

Will CrowdStrike pay more than $10m of civil or criminal liability for today's incident before 2027?

Jul 19, 10:05 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

25%chance

4330273

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1630

146

When will a new mainline Animal Crossing game be released on a Nintendo console?

Sep 11, 9:12 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

3824152

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2029

Not before 2030

2026

2025 or earlier

39

30

18

7

6

1

Will Prince William be crowned King by the end of 2026?

Jun 26, 6:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.51%chance

8415507

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2292

457

Will 100 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day in 2026?

May 5, 6:06 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

2.42%chance

287316

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3396

30

Will William, Prince of Wales ever be crowned King of the United Kingdom?

Dec 27, 12:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.85%chance

17831

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1327

920

Sometime before 2031, AI is going to cross a generality threshold that allows for recursive self-improvement, and then FOOM to superhuman capability. Before that point humanity must solve AI safety or be helpless.

Dec 24, 3:53 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

28.73%chance

19813

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1011

916

Will 110 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day while Trump is President?

Jul 9, 5:12 PMJan 20, 11:59 AM

60.95%chance

9655

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1249

800

Will a crossing of the Strait of Gibraltar, between Morocco and Spain, have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 8:16 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

32.21%chance

18563

OptionVotes

NO

YES

996

989

By 2040, the dominant intelligence will be as different from modern humans as modern humans are from cro magnons

Feb 26, 1:39 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM

40.61%chance

16422

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1160

873

Will 120 or more ships cross the straight of Hormuz in a day before 2030?

Jul 8, 6:36 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

58.57%chance

5191

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1189

841

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