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Prediction markets for CRO

Crocodile Stock

May 2, 7:39 PMMay 2, 9:59 PM

12880785

OptionProbability

NO

YES

2886

1727

Will at least one other person be found guilty in a court of law for involvement in Crooks' Trump assassination attempt?

Jul 18, 2:23 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

2.63%chance

1738581

OptionVotes

YES

NO

45481

7857

Will CrowdStrike pay more than $10m of civil or criminal liability for today's incident before 2027?

Jul 19, 10:05 AMJan 1, 10:59 PM

37.44%chance

4129880

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1441

231

When will a new mainline Animal Crossing game be released on a Nintendo console?

Sep 11, 9:12 PMJan 2, 5:59 AM

3722421

OptionProbability

2027

2028

2029

2026

Not before 2030

2025 or earlier

38

27

18

8

8

1

Will Prince William be crowned King by the end of 2026?

Jun 26, 6:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

20.32%chance

7312445

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1840

551

Twitter (X) Crosses 1 billion Monthly Active Users by 2030

Mar 26, 6:25 AMJan 2, 7:59 AM

20.39%chance

201032

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1496

812

Will William, Prince of Wales ever be crowned King of the United Kingdom?

Dec 27, 12:37 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

86.85%chance

17831

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1327

920

Sometime before 2031, AI is going to cross a generality threshold that allows for recursive self-improvement, and then FOOM to superhuman capability. Before that point humanity must solve AI safety or be helpless.

Dec 24, 3:53 AMFeb 1, 7:59 AM

28.65%chance

18812

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

919

Will a crossing of the Strait of Gibraltar, between Morocco and Spain, have started construction by 2035?

Jul 4, 8:16 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

32.87%chance

16543

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

969

Will Volcanic Island cross $1000 before 2030?

Dec 18, 2:52 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

33.58%chance

3436

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1406

711

By 2040, the dominant intelligence will be as different from modern humans as modern humans are from cro magnons

Feb 26, 1:39 PMJan 27, 4:59 AM

40.61%chance

16422

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1160

873

Will a crossing of the Bab-el-Mandeb, between Yemen and Djibouti or Eritrea, have started construction by 2040?

Jul 4, 8:28 AMJan 1, 3:59 PM

21.37%chance

15328

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1115

946

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