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Prediction markets for Crown

Will Prince William be crowned King by the end of 2026?

Jun 26, 6:57 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

37.2%chance

485659

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1167

812

Who will be the first Manifold user to wear the crown?

Jan 21, 7:08 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

114862

OptionProbability

Other

@SemioticRivalry

@realDonaldTrump

@ItsMe

@Bayesian

@Joshua

@jacksonpolack

@EvanDaniel

@Ziddletwix

46

16

8

8

6

6

6

2

2

Will any horse win the Triple Crown in 2026?

May 19, 2:42 AMDec 31, 11:59 PM

9.25%chance

123207

OptionVotes

YES

NO

3133

319

Will the first trillionaire be crowned by the end of the decade?

Apr 4, 12:17 AMJan 1, 2:59 AM

74.02%chance

292373

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1773

442

Will New Zealand Crown Research Institutes be centralised by 2026?

Jan 7, 11:01 PMDec 31, 10:59 AM

10.22%chance

22109

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2964

337

Is Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman the BEAST of Revelation? Yes or no.

Apr 23, 6:46 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3%chance

101641

OptionVotes

YES

NO

568

18

Will Trump Wear a Crown?

Aug 20, 9:48 AMAug 20, 9:47 AM

21.82%chance

29906

OptionVotes

YES

NO

197

168

Will anybody get Manifold's crown before 2027?

Jan 7, 11:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.65%chance

10318

OptionVotes

NO

YES

167

60

Who will win the 2026 Six Nations Triple Crown?

Jan 13, 4:32 AMMar 21, 11:59 PM

5174

OptionProbability

England

Ireland

None

Scotland

Wales

36

31

18

12

3

Any of the UK Crown Jewels is stolen or destroyed or lost through 2031

Aug 31, 4:58 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

19.57%chance

3146

OptionVotes

YES

NO

113

70

Location of next non-BIOT land to leave the United Kingdom, its overseas territories, or crown dependencies?

Sep 19, 9:42 PMDec 31, 2:52 PM

3127

OptionProbability

Europe (including Cyprus)

Atlantic Ocean (excluding the British Isles or Gibraltar)

Caribbean

Scotland

Northern Ireland

Cyprus

67

41

34

25

25

18

Will the black crowned night heron, be a “resident” or “reintroduced” breeding bird in the UK by 2040?

Nov 2, 3:42 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

110

OptionProbability

Yes

No

58

42

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