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Prediction markets for Crusaders

Will Elon Musk imply before 2026 that NASA didn't land on the moon?

Sep 23, 5:45 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

5.08%chance

204935

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4322

231

Will any of the Magic: The Gathering "culturally insensitive cards" be reprinted or unbanned by the end of 2026?

Jan 30, 6:36 AMJan 1, 8:00 AM

5.86%chance

201066

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1913

868

How many hectares will burn in forest fires in Canada during 2026?

Jun 23, 1:13 PMNov 28, 11:59 PM

4970

China added to Crusader Kings 3 by when?

Apr 1, 6:39 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

3838

Will Paradox Interactive publish a fantasy grand strategy game before 2030?

Dec 31, 7:27 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

60.3%chance

17686

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1182

554

Will Paradox Interactive publish a fantasy grand strategy game before the end of 2027?

Dec 31, 2:40 AMJan 1, 7:59 AM

46.02%chance

23655

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1043

954

Will Paradox Interactive publish a Cold War grand strategy game before 2030?

Dec 30, 7:06 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

49.67%chance

14615

OptionVotes

YES

NO

239

84

What will be the next Crusader Kings 3 tag that Tetraspace does a complete playthrough with?

May 10, 8:02 AMJan 1, 11:59 PM

1537

OptionProbability

Other

Mogyër Confederation

Þrándheimr

94

4

3

Will Paradox Interactive publish a Cold War grand strategy game before the end of 2027?

Dec 31, 7:28 PMJan 1, 7:59 AM

16.55%chance

12408

OptionVotes

YES

NO

382

72

Wild Honey Bees functionally extinct in the USA by 2030?

Jul 8, 11:33 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

32.14%chance

9129

OptionVotes

YES

NO

145

69

Christian/Christine Weston Chandler (Chris Chan) alive through the end of 2029?

Jul 2, 8:13 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

51.96%chance

222

OptionVotes

NO

YES

104

96

WILL JOSE LUIS RICON EVER PLAY A GAME OF CRUSADER KINGS WITH OR WITHOUT ROCHELLE

Feb 8, 8:31 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

49.17%chance

16

OptionVotes

NO

YES

70

70

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