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Prediction markets for Cryptocurrency

Will any cryptocurrency have a market cap of at least $100 billion at the end of 2026?

Dec 13, 9:10 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

95.2%chance

16231565

OptionVotes

NO

YES

6208

1300

Will Amazon accept cryptocurrency before December 31st 2028?

Mar 22, 9:31 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

26.1%chance

507812

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

785

By 2030 will the most-used cryptocurrency have none of the highly criticised flaws of those popular in 2024?

Feb 3, 6:51 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.46%chance

281611

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

926

If cryptocurrency becomes widely adopted, will it be Bitcoin?

Nov 2, 6:02 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

62.1%chance

231337

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1477

455

Will U.S. 401(k) plans widely allow direct investment in cryptocurrencies by 2030?

May 27, 5:15 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.98%chance

5933

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1831

546

Will any new cryptocurrency become more popular than Bitcoin or Etherium before 2033?

Jan 30, 10:46 PMJan 1, 8:00 AM

24.92%chance

29692

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1010

914

Will cryptocurrency replace a major Fiat currency as a primary means of transaction in any country by 2027?

Jan 11, 11:56 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

29.35%chance

20637

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1020

912

Will any cryptocurrency pass Bitcoin in market share by the end of 2030

Mar 28, 11:21 AMJan 1, 4:59 AM

25.26%chance

17504

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1319

855

Will I begin using cryptocurrency transactions in my daily life before 2030?

Dec 11, 2:46 AMJan 1, 5:00 AM

52%chance

30441

OptionVotes

NO

YES

998

985

Will a cryptocurrency become a leading currency instead of a government issued currency by 2050?

Mar 13, 6:17 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

39.34%chance

16315

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1006

978

US government loses more than $50 million in cryptocurrency by end of 2028

Mar 16, 10:33 PMDec 31, 12:00 AM

42.64%chance

5248

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1160

862

Will it ever be true that >50% of Americans own cryptocurrency?**

Oct 7, 1:18 AMJan 2, 12:50 AM

9237

OptionProbability

2055 or later (or never)

Yes, before 2055

Yes, before 2045

Yes, before 2035

82

9

8

1

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