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Prediction markets for Currency and Finance

By 2030 will the most-used cryptocurrency have none of the highly criticised flaws of those popular in 2024?

Feb 3, 6:51 PMJan 1, 11:59 PM

29.46%chance

281611

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1013

926

Outcome of Operation Epic Fury (Iran 2026):

Mar 12, 3:08 AMJun 30, 11:59 PM

111094

OptionProbability

Unyielding Islamic Regime

Deal with minimal concessions

Balkanization/long civil war

Deal with major concessions

Military coup (Artesh)

Popular takeover

Venezuela-style puppet state

Voluntary transition of power

38

28

11

8

7

5

2

2

Will blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?

Nov 15, 1:49 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

29.32%chance

12941

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1553

644

[Making Sense: Peter Zeihan] Will the german state cease to exist before 2070?

Feb 23, 8:06 PMJan 1, 10:59 PM

18.25%chance

18894

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1259

922

Will the Japanese yen trade below 160 JPY/USD at the end of March 2026?

Jan 21, 8:29 PMMar 31, 11:59 PM

89%chance

6521

OptionVotes

NO

YES

284

35

Will Kyndryl Holdings recover from today's crash within 6 month?

Feb 9, 8:57 PMAug 9, 8:49 PM

16%chance

3287

OptionVotes

YES

NO

229

44

Manifold have a central bank and I am chairman by 2030?

Jun 16, 10:35 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

10.85%chance

6253

OptionVotes

YES

NO

287

35

Manifold have a central bank and banking apparatus by 2030?

Jun 16, 10:34 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22.28%chance

7143

OptionVotes

YES

NO

187

54

Will the United States regulate cryptocurrency due to its use in upcoming war before the end of 2027

Mar 22, 8:45 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

22%chance

488

OptionVotes

YES

NO

188

53

Will Japan intervene in currency markets before May 2026?

Mar 22, 8:09 PMApr 30, 11:59 PM

45.25%chance

110

OptionVotes

YES

NO

110

91

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