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Prediction markets for Current

Will the Dome of the Rock in Jerusalem be destroyed by the end of Netanyahu's current term?

Nov 15, 6:24 AMNov 12, 7:59 AM

5.02%chance

4264217

OptionVotes

YES

NO

34112

7133

Will 5,000+ Gazans starve to death as a result of the current conflict?

Mar 19, 2:07 PMJul 1, 3:59 AM

62.74%chance

9737963

OptionVotes

NO

YES

1440

211

Will US obesity be half or less of the current rate in 2050?

Nov 24, 12:10 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

73.35%chance

11424627

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2203

734

Will there be fighting in Crimea as part of the current war between Russia and Ukraine?

Feb 14, 1:07 PMDec 30, 11:59 PM

10.39%chance

12622502

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2887

249

Is cryonic reanimation possible with current preservation technology?

Nov 20, 3:41 PMJan 1, 5:00 AM

37.05%chance

9412437

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1817

544

Will the Kouprey (Bos sauveli) become extinct in the current century?

Jun 17, 4:44 PMDec 31, 10:59 PM

98.95%chance

410273

OptionVotes

NO

YES

8928

63

Will Mitch McConnell complete his current term as Senator from Kentucky?

Jul 28, 2:56 AMJan 4, 7:59 AM

65.97%chance

10710212

OptionVotes

NO

YES

2150

524

Who will be the next (current or former) US president to die, aside from Carter?

Jul 1, 11:53 AMJul 8, 11:53 AM

1069334

OptionProbability

Joe Biden

Donald Trump

Bill Clinton

George Bush

Barack Obama

Other

55

27

9

6

2

1

Will China reinstate or enforce export restrictions on gallium after current suspension expires in Nov?

Dec 26, 5:09 PMDec 31, 11:59 PM

35.3%chance

196946

OptionVotes

YES

NO

13549

7392

Will it be scientific consensus that there is currently microscopic life on Mars by 2034?

Jan 6, 12:18 PMJan 1, 4:59 AM

14.93%chance

823422

OptionVotes

YES

NO

2135

1270

Will anyone currently living be verified as 120 years old by 2030?

Feb 12, 2:13 AMDec 31, 1:59 PM

23.74%chance

142221

OptionVotes

YES

NO

4420

2320

In 10 years, will the USA have an average cost of electricity below 1/10th of its current price?

May 8, 2:50 PMJan 2, 7:59 AM

10.58%chance

261257

OptionVotes

YES

NO

1288

922

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